globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2019.04.027
WOS记录号: WOS:000474327800072
论文题名:
Modelling time-variant parameters of a two-parameter monthly water balance model
作者: Deng, Chao1,2; Liu, Pan3,4; Wang, Weiguang1,2; Shao, Quanxi5; Wang, Dingbao6
通讯作者: Liu, Pan ; Wang, Weiguang
刊名: JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY
ISSN: 0022-1694
EISSN: 1879-2707
出版年: 2019
卷: 573, 页码:918-936
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Hydrological modelling ; Time-variant parameter ; Catchment properties ; Ensemble Kalman filter ; Monthly water balance model
WOS关键词: ENSEMBLE KALMAN FILTER ; RAINFALL-RUNOFF MODEL ; DATA ASSIMILATION ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; HYDROLOGICAL IMPACTS ; RIVER-BASIN ; STATE ; CATCHMENTS ; PERFORMANCE ; STREAMFLOW
WOS学科分类: Engineering, Civil ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向: Engineering ; Geology ; Water Resources
英文摘要:

Parameters are usually assumed to be stationary, and regarded as constants in hydrological modelling. However, studies have shown that model parameters may vary temporally due to human activities, and climate variability and changes. This study proposes a framework for quantifying hydrological model parameters as functions of time-variant catchment properties, aiming to improve the capability of capturing hydrograph and the extra-polative ability of hydrological models under a changing environment. The framework includes four steps: (1) estimating model parameters by using an ensemble Kalman filter based on the observations; (2) analyzing correlations between estimated parameter values and catchment properties; (3) constructing a set of parameter functions based on the identified catchment properties and the proposed functional forms; and (4) selecting and testing the best-performed model. As a demonstration of the framework, the monthly water balance for Tongtianhe and Ganjiang basins in China with different climate are simulated using a two-parameter monthly water balance model. Results from the Tongtianhe Basin show that considering the time-variant evapotranspiration parameter (C) brings improvement in low flows when water storage capacity (SC) is treated as constant since there is no significant improvement in runoff simulation when SC is treated as a time-variant parameter. The application to Ganjiang Basin shows that reasonable improvements are achieved when both C and SC are treated as time-variant, especially in low and high flows. The presented framework provides a useful tool for estimating time-variant parameters of hydrological models, thereby leading to more reliable model predictions under a changing environment.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/139364
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: 1.Hohai Univ, State Key Lab Hydrol Water Resources & Hydraul En, Nanjing 210098, Jiangsu, Peoples R China
2.Hohai Univ, Coll Water Resources & Hydrol, Nanjing 210098, Jiangsu, Peoples R China
3.Wuhan Univ, State Key Lab Water Resources & Hydropower Engn S, Wuhan 430072, Hubei, Peoples R China
4.Hubei Prov Collaborat Innovat Ctr Water Resources, Wuhan 430072, Hubei, Peoples R China
5.CSIRO Data 61, Private Bag 5, Wembley, WA 6913, Australia
6.Univ Cent Florida, Dept Civil Environm & Construct Engn, Orlando, FL 32816 USA

Recommended Citation:
Deng, Chao,Liu, Pan,Wang, Weiguang,et al. Modelling time-variant parameters of a two-parameter monthly water balance model[J]. JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY,2019-01-01,573:918-936
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