globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1175/JHM-D-18-0213.1
WOS记录号: WOS:000471114900001
论文题名:
A Practical Approach to Developing Climate Change Scenarios for Water Quality Models
作者: Gelda, Rakesh K.1; Mukundan, Rajith1; Owens, Emmet M.1; Abatzoglou, John T.2
通讯作者: Gelda, Rakesh K.
刊名: JOURNAL OF HYDROMETEOROLOGY
ISSN: 1525-755X
EISSN: 1525-7541
出版年: 2019
卷: 20, 期:6, 页码:1197-1211
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate models ; Coupled models ; Ecological models ; Hydrologic models ; Model errors ; Model evaluation ; performance
WOS关键词: NEW-YORK ; STREAM TEMPERATURE ; WINTER STREAMFLOW ; ASHOKAN RESERVOIR ; CHANGE IMPACT ; TURBIDITY ; LAKES
WOS学科分类: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

Climate model output is often downscaled to grids of moderately high spatial resolution (similar to 4-6-km grid cells). Such projections have been used in numerous hydrological impact assessment studies at watershed scales. However, relatively few studies have been conducted to assess the impact of climate change on the hydrodynamics and water quality in lakes and reservoirs. A potential barrier to such assessments is the need for meteorological variables at subdaily time scales that are downscaled to in situ observations to which lake and reservoir water quality models have been calibrated and validated. In this study, we describe a generalizable procedure that utilizes gridded downscaled data; applies a secondary bias-correction procedure using equidistance quantile mapping to map projections to station-based observations; and implements temporal disaggregation models to generate point-scale hourly air and dewpoint temperature, wind speed, and solar radiation for use in water quality models. The proposed approach is demonstrated for six locations within New York State: four within watersheds of the New York City water supply system and two at nearby National Weather Service stations. Disaggregation models developed using observations reproduced hourly data well at all locations, with Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency greater than 0.9 for air temperature and dewpoint, 0.4-0.6 for wind speed, and 0.7-0.9 for solar radiation.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/139499
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: 1.New York City Dept Environm Protect, Kingston, NY 12401 USA
2.Univ Idaho, Moscow, ID 83843 USA

Recommended Citation:
Gelda, Rakesh K.,Mukundan, Rajith,Owens, Emmet M.,et al. A Practical Approach to Developing Climate Change Scenarios for Water Quality Models[J]. JOURNAL OF HYDROMETEOROLOGY,2019-01-01,20(6):1197-1211
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