globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2019.02.001
WOS记录号: WOS:000470043000023
论文题名:
Can hydrogen fuel vehicles be a sustainable alternative on vehicle market?: Comparison of electric and hydrogen fuel cell vehicles
作者: Shin, Jungwoo1; Hwang, Won-Sik2; Choi, Hyundo3
通讯作者: Hwang, Won-Sik
刊名: TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE
ISSN: 0040-1625
EISSN: 1873-5509
出版年: 2019
卷: 143, 页码:239-248
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Alternative fuel vehicle ; Consumer preference ; Fuel cell vehicle ; Multiple discrete-continuous extreme value model ; Market simulation
WOS关键词: EXTREME-VALUE MODEL ; CONSUMER PREFERENCES ; IMPACT ; EMISSIONS ; ADOPTION ; POLICY ; COSTS ; USAGE
WOS学科分类: Business ; Regional & Urban Planning
WOS研究方向: Business & Economics ; Public Administration
英文摘要:

Whereas the paradigm shift in the transportation sector caused by climate change previously put electric vehicles (EVs) at the center, hydrogen fuel cell vehicles (HFCVs) have recently emerged as a new driver for change. From an environmental perspective, EVs might not represent an effective alternative to traditional vehicles because their emissions potential depends on how the electricity is produced. HFCVs also have the potential to cause GHG emissions, depending on how the hydrogen is produced. This study considers EVs and HFCVs to be ecofriendly alternatives, and analyzes consumer preferences for the vehicles and their environmental effects, taking into account future competition within the automobile market. For analysis, we divided consumers into drivers and non-drivers and used a conjoint survey and mixed multiple discrete-continuous extreme value model. Our results indicate that both drivers and non-drivers preferred EVs over HFCVs in terms of choice, but the preference structure differed between the driver and non-driver groups in terms of usage levels. To examine the potential environmental effects of EVs and HFCVs, we conducted a scenario analysis. The results will serve as base research material for formulating HFCV-related policies in the light of the probable future outcomes of competition between EVs and HFCVs.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/139577
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: 1.Kyung Hee Univ, Dept Ind & Management Syst Engn, 1732 Deogyeong Daero, Yongin 17104, Gyeonggi, South Korea
2.Korea Inst Ind Econ & Trade, 370 Sicheong Daero, Sejong Si 30147, South Korea
3.Chosun Univ, Coll Business, 309 Pilmun Daero, Gwangju 61452, South Korea

Recommended Citation:
Shin, Jungwoo,Hwang, Won-Sik,Choi, Hyundo. Can hydrogen fuel vehicles be a sustainable alternative on vehicle market?: Comparison of electric and hydrogen fuel cell vehicles[J]. TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE,2019-01-01,143:239-248
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