CLIMATE-CHANGE
; GENETIC CONSEQUENCES
; GLACIAL REFUGIA
; ARIDITY INDEX
; VEGETATION
; FORESTS
; TREE
; L.
; DISTRIBUTIONS
; PATTERNS
WOS学科分类:
Environmental Sciences
; Environmental Studies
WOS研究方向:
Environmental Sciences & Ecology
英文摘要:
Juniperus drupacea is a unique relict species found in the mountains of southern Greece, southern Turkey, and western Syria and Lebanon. The aim of this study was to describe the natural range of this juniper by determining the current locations of its populations and to predict a theoretical range for the species based on current, past, and future climatic conditions. We used data from the literature, herbarium materials, and our unpublished field notes (about 500 georeferenced points in total) to determine the current natural distribution of J. drupacea (realized niche). To predict suitable conditions with the program MaxEnt, we used data from the WordClim database, which allowed estimation of the potential niche. The potential niche of J. drupacea was much wider during the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) and was severely restricted during the Eemian interglacial period. Depending on the climate scenario, this species could become endangered in the future due to climate changes. Considering the relatively restricted geographic range of J. drupacea and the decreasing numbers of localities where it is found, conservation strategies should be adopted to allow for preservation of its genetic and morphological diversity.
1.Polish Acad Sci, Inst Dendrol, Parkowa 5, PL-62035 Kornik, Poland 2.Sutcu Imam Univ, Fac Forestry, Dept Forest Bot, Kahramanmaras, Turkey 3.Hacettepe Univ, Fac Sci, Dept Biol, Ankara, Turkey 4.Nezahat Gokyigit Bot Garden, Istanbul, Turkey 5.Univ St Joseph, Lab Caracterisat Genom Plantes, Fac Sci, Beirut, Lebanon 6.Lebanese Univ, Fac Sci 3, Dept Earth & Life Sci, Tripoli, Lebanon 7.Spanish Res Council, Bot Inst, Barcelona, Spain 8.Lebanese Univ, Fac Sci 2, Dept Life & Earth Sci, Fanar, Lebanon
Recommended Citation:
Walas, Lukasz,Sobierajska, Karolina,Ok, Tolga,et al. Past, present, and future geographic range of an oro-Mediterranean Tertiary relict: The juniperus drupacea case study[J]. REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE,2019-01-01,19(5):1507-1520