globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1007/s00103-019-02960-8
WOS记录号: WOS:000469476600015
论文题名:
Assessment of health risks due to heat and fine particles in Germany: an epidemiological study approach
作者: Georgy, Sascha1; Lautenbach, Sven2,3; Jahn, Heiko J.1; Katzschner, Lutz4; Kraemer, Alexander1
通讯作者: Georgy, Sascha
刊名: BUNDESGESUNDHEITSBLATT-GESUNDHEITSFORSCHUNG-GESUNDHEITSSCHUTZ
ISSN: 1436-9990
EISSN: 1437-1588
出版年: 2019
卷: 62, 期:6, 页码:782-791
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate change ; Mortality ; Assessment ; Case-crossover design ; Prevention
WOS关键词: HOSPITAL ADMISSIONS ; AMBIENT-TEMPERATURE ; MORTALITY ; WAVE ; EXCESS ; CITY ; DISEASE
WOS学科分类: Public, Environmental & Occupational Health
WOS研究方向: Public, Environmental & Occupational Health
英文摘要:

BackgroundExposure to heat and particulate matter is acause of increased mortality. Climate change and increasing climate variability exacerbate these problems. Experts require assessments with which health risks and the success of preventative measures can be estimated. We implemented an ecological study approach to assess these risks at both small and large scales of reference levels (Federal Republic of Germany and territorial authority).MethodsWe utilised a case-crossover design to investigate the relationship between exposure and mortality. This study design uses alogistic regression model. Analogously to amatched case-control study, the odds ratio maps the effect strength. The study period included the years 2002-2006.ResultsThe analysis demonstrated health risks from exposure to heat for the German population (OR 1.1529, 95% CI 1.1517-1.1541; adjusted OR 1.0658). Significant evidence of ahealth risk was also documented for exposure to particulate matter (PM10; OR 1.2987, 95% CI 1.2951-1.3024; adjusted OR 1.0128). The risk does not significantly differ for women versus men; the variable age was also not significant at the level of the country-wide analysis, but for afew subordinate units of space.This study approach can be adapted for assessments at varying levels of reference and periods of time as well as for different populations.DiscussionThe methodological approach is useful for areproducible study design. Nevertheless, other influencing factors such as ozone or PM2.5 should be incorporated in subsequent analyses to clarify whether these factors skew the results. Further analysis would also be useful to investigate if and to what extent socio-structural and socio-economic factors affect the associated risk.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/139711
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: 1.Univ Bielefeld, Bielefeld Fak Gesundheitswissensch AG 2, Postfach 100131, D-33501 Bielefeld, Germany
2.Univ Bonn, Inst Geodasie & Geoinformat, Bonn, Germany
3.Heidelberg Univ, Geog Inst Heidelberg, Heidelberg, Germany
4.Univ Kassel, Inst Urbane Entwicklungen, Umweltmeteorol, Kassel, Germany

Recommended Citation:
Georgy, Sascha,Lautenbach, Sven,Jahn, Heiko J.,et al. Assessment of health risks due to heat and fine particles in Germany: an epidemiological study approach[J]. BUNDESGESUNDHEITSBLATT-GESUNDHEITSFORSCHUNG-GESUNDHEITSSCHUTZ,2019-01-01,62(6):782-791
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