globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1007/s11270-019-4159-0
WOS记录号: WOS:000468120300002
论文题名:
Assessing the Impact of Climate Change on Flood Events Using HEC-HMS and CMIP5
作者: Bai, Ye1; Zhang, Zhenxing2; Zhao, Weiguo2,3
通讯作者: Zhang, Zhenxing
刊名: WATER AIR AND SOIL POLLUTION
ISSN: 0049-6979
EISSN: 1573-2932
出版年: 2019
卷: 230, 期:6
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate change ; Flood ; HEC-HMS ; Hydrologic model ; CMIP ; CORDEX
WOS关键词: RIVER-BASIN ; MODEL ; MANAGEMENT ; RESOURCES
WOS学科分类: Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Water Resources
英文摘要:

Climate change may result in increased variability in rainfall intensity in the future, leading to more frequent flooding and a substantial loss of lives and properties. To mitigate the impact from flooding events, flood control facilities need to be designed and operated more efficiently, which requires a better understanding of the relationship between climate change and flood events. This study proposed a framework combining the Hydrologic Engineering Center's Hydrologic Modeling System (HEC-HMS) and the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) general circulation models to assess the impact of climate change on flood events. HEC-HMS is one of the most commonly used hydrologic models in the USA, and CMIP5 provides the latest climate data for potential future climate scenarios. The proposed approach is applied to the Nippersink Creek watershed, which shows that 10-, 25-, 50-, and 100-year precipitations for the low, medium, and high emission scenarios are all greater than the historic observations. The corresponding 10-, 25-, 50-, and 100-year floods are remarkably higher than in the historic observations for the three climate scenarios. The high emission scenario results in dramatically increased flood risks in the future. The case study demonstrates that the framework combining HEC-HMS and CMIP5 is easy to use and efficient for assessing climate change impacts on flood events. It is a valuable tool when complicated and distributed hydrologic modeling is not an option because of time or monetary constraints.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/139745
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: 1.Univ Illinois, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Urbana, IL 61801 USA
2.Hebei Univ Engn, Sch Water Conservancy & Hydropower, Handan 056021, Hebei, Peoples R China
3.Univ Illinois, Prairie Res Inst, Illinois State Water Survey, Champaign, IL 61820 USA

Recommended Citation:
Bai, Ye,Zhang, Zhenxing,Zhao, Weiguo. Assessing the Impact of Climate Change on Flood Events Using HEC-HMS and CMIP5[J]. WATER AIR AND SOIL POLLUTION,2019-01-01,230(6)
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