globalchange  > 影响、适应和脆弱性
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/11/11/114011
论文题名:
Drivers of future changes in East African precipitation
作者: N Souverijns; W Thiery; M Demuzere; N P M Van Lipzig
刊名: Environmental Research Letters
ISSN: 1748-9326
出版年: 2016
发表日期: 2016-11-08
卷: 11, 期:11
语种: 英语
英文摘要:

Precipitation amounts over East Africa have been declining over the last decades. These changes and future climate change over the region are highly debated. This study analyzes drivers of future precipitation changes over East Africa by applying a classification of circulation patterns on 15 historical and future members of the COordinated Regional climate Downscaling EXperiment. Typical circulation types (CTs) are obtained. Under a high emission scenario, changes in the frequency of occurrence of these CTs attribute for 23% of the total change in precipitation over East Africa by the end of the century. The remaining part (77%) is not related to East African synoptics, e.g. changes in moisture content, local/mesoscale feedbacks, and changes in moisture influx. These other effects comprise increases in precipitation close to the equator and the Somali region, while decreases are found over northwestern Ethiopia, the Sudan region and the lake areas.

URL: http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/11/114011
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/13978
Appears in Collections:影响、适应和脆弱性
气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, KU Leuven, Belgium;Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Sciences, ETH Zurich, Switzerland;Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, KU Leuven, Belgium;Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, KU Leuven, Belgium

Recommended Citation:
N Souverijns,W Thiery,M Demuzere,et al. Drivers of future changes in East African precipitation[J]. Environmental Research Letters,2016-01-01,11(11)
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