globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1016/j.forpol.2018.03.006
WOS记录号: WOS:000466849300012
论文题名:
A multicriteria stochastic optimization framework for sustainable forest decision making under uncertainty
作者: Alvarez-Miranda, Eduardo1; Garcia-Gonzalo, Jordi2; Pais, Cristobal3; Weintraub, Andres3
通讯作者: Alvarez-Miranda, Eduardo
刊名: FOREST POLICY AND ECONOMICS
ISSN: 1389-9341
EISSN: 1872-7050
出版年: 2019
卷: 103, 页码:112-122
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Forest management ; Uncertainty ; Multicriteria optimization ; Stochastic programming ; Risk management
WOS关键词: CLIMATE-CHANGE IMPACTS ; MANAGEMENT ; CRITERIA ; LEVEL
WOS学科分类: Economics ; Environmental Studies ; Forestry
WOS研究方向: Business & Economics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Forestry
英文摘要:

A core process in forestry planning corresponds to the design of optimal harvesting policies along with road network layouts. In the most common setting, decision makers seek for solutions that maximize the profit of the forest while respecting operative and market constraints. Due to the long-term nature of the industry, the inherent uncertainty in both forest growth and market conditions should be taken into account. Nowadays, forest planning must target towards a sustainable management; the maximization of carbon sequestration and the minimization of land erosion are two common environmental goals.


The planning challenge addressed in this paper integrates uncertainty of future forest growth and timber prices with the need for considering three criteria; net-present value, carbon sequestration, and land erosion caused by the road construction within the forest. By using mathematical programming tools and stochastic optimization techniques, we develop a stochastic multicriteria model that enables decision makers to have not only one, but a pool of long term planning policies.


Moreover, a risk-averse variant of the framework is also considered. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first time that this type of forestry planning setting, which responds to the new challenges of the industry, is addressed.


The proposed tool is used on an eucalyptus forest located in Portugal; the obtained results show the benefit of the proposed framework for producing a pool of sustainable forest plans with efficient trade-offs among the three considered criteria.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/139802
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作者单位: 1.Univ Talca, Dept Ind Engn, Curiceo, Chile
2.Ctr Tecnol Forestal Catalunya, Solsona, Catalunya, Spain
3.Univ Chile, Dept Ind Engn, Santiago, Chile

Recommended Citation:
Alvarez-Miranda, Eduardo,Garcia-Gonzalo, Jordi,Pais, Cristobal,et al. A multicriteria stochastic optimization framework for sustainable forest decision making under uncertainty[J]. FOREST POLICY AND ECONOMICS,2019-01-01,103:112-122
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