globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1007/s00484-019-01692-3
WOS记录号: WOS:000467578000007
论文题名:
Site-specific hourly resolution wet bulb globe temperature reconstruction from gridded daily resolution climate variables for planning climate change adaptation measures
作者: Takakura, Jun'; ya1; Fujimori, Shinichiro2; Takahashi, Kiyoshi1; Hijioka, Yasuaki1; Honda, Yasushi3
通讯作者: Takakura, Jun&#39 ; ya
刊名: INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY
ISSN: 0020-7128
EISSN: 1432-1254
出版年: 2019
卷: 63, 期:6, 页码:787-800
语种: 英语
英文关键词: WBGT ; Heat stress ; Diurnal variation ; Statistical downscaling ; Climate change
WOS关键词: URBAN HEAT-ISLAND ; SHIFT WORK ; WBGT ; PROJECTIONS ; AUGUST ; TOKYO ; MODEL ; OSAKA
WOS学科分类: Biophysics ; Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Physiology
WOS研究方向: Biophysics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Physiology
英文摘要:

Changes in the environmental heat stress need to be properly evaluated to manage the risk of heat-related illnesses, particularly in the context of climate change. The wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) is a useful index for evaluating heat stress and anticipating conditions related to heat-related illness in the present climate, but projecting the WBGT with a sufficiently high temporal and spatial resolution remains challenging for future climate conditions. In this study, we developed a methodological framework for estimating the site-specific hourly resolution WBGT based on the output of general circulation models using only simple calculations. The method was applied to six sites in Japan and its performance was evaluated. The proposed method could reproduce the site-specific hourly resolution WBGT with a high accuracy. Based on the developed framework, we constructed future (2090s) projections under two different greenhouse gas emission pathways. These projections showed a consistent rise in the WBGT and thus the capacity to perform physically demanding activities is expected to decrease. To demonstrate the usefulness of the projected WBGT in planning adaptation measures, we identified the optimal working schedules which would minimize outdoor workers' exposure to heat at a specific site. The results show that a substantial shift in the working time is required in the future if outdoor workers are to compensate the effect of increased heat exposure only by changing their working hours. This methodological framework and the projections will provide local practitioners with useful information to manage the increased risk of heat stress under climate change.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/139942
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: 1.Natl Inst Environm Studies, 16-2 Onogawa, Tsukuba, Ibaraki 3058506, Japan
2.Kyoto Univ, Nishikyo Ku, 361,C1-3,Kyoto Univ Katsura Campus, Kyoto 6158540, Japan
3.Univ Tsukuba, 1-1-1 Tennodai, Tsukuba, Ibaraki 3058577, Japan

Recommended Citation:
Takakura, Jun',ya,Fujimori, Shinichiro,et al. Site-specific hourly resolution wet bulb globe temperature reconstruction from gridded daily resolution climate variables for planning climate change adaptation measures[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY,2019-01-01,63(6):787-800
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