globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1007/s10640-018-0276-2
WOS记录号: WOS:000468095100010
论文题名:
Stated Preferences for Conservation Policies Under Uncertainty: Insights on the Effect of Individuals' Risk Attitudes in the Environmental Domain
作者: Faccioli, Michela1,2; Kuhfuss, Laure1,3; Czajkowski, Mikolaj4
通讯作者: Faccioli, Michela
刊名: ENVIRONMENTAL & RESOURCE ECONOMICS
ISSN: 0924-6460
EISSN: 1573-1502
出版年: 2019
卷: 73, 期:2, 页码:627-659
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Stated preference valuation ; Uncertainty ; Risk attitude ; Climate change ; Conservation
WOS关键词: WILLINGNESS-TO-PAY ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; GENDER-DIFFERENCES ; LOSS AVERSION ; CHOICE ; INFORMATION ; UTILITY ; IMPACT ; SCALE ; DETERMINANTS
WOS学科分类: Economics ; Environmental Studies
WOS研究方向: Business & Economics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
英文摘要:

The outcome of a conservation policy is often subject to uncertainty. In stated preference valuation, it is increasingly recognised that uncertainty affects preferences for the outcomes of environmental policies. However, there is also agreement that the effect of uncertainty and people's attitudes towards risk need to be better understood. To shed more light on the impact of risk, we designed a discrete choice experiment to compare preferences for environmental outcomes under climate change across two split samples. Each sample was confronted with a scenario where results were presented as certain or uncertain, but were otherwise associated with the same expected values. We found significant differences between the certain and the uncertain treatment, with uncertain outcomes being associated with more extreme utility levels and willingness to pay, in absolute terms. This finding was confirmed irrespective of whether gains or losses were considered and despite sensitivity to uncertaintyspecific to the socio-demographic profile. Our results suggest that individuals are not risk neutral in the presence of uncertainty around environmental outcomes. These findings are crucial to better understand stated preferences for conservation policies in risky contexts. Our results reinforce the idea that uncertainty should be explicitly incorporated in the design of stated preference studies to better inform policy.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/139953
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作者单位: 1.James Hutton Inst, Social Econ & Geog Sci Res Grp, Aberdeen AB15 8QH, Scotland
2.Univ Exeter, Land Environm Econ & Policy Inst LEEP, Lazenby House,Prince Wales Rd, Exeter EX4 4PJ, Devon, England
3.Univ St Andrews, Dept Geog & Sustainable Dev, Irvine Bldg,North St, St Andrews KY16 9AL, Fife, Scotland
4.Univ Warsaw, Dept Econ, Dluga 44-50, PL-00241 Warsaw, Poland

Recommended Citation:
Faccioli, Michela,Kuhfuss, Laure,Czajkowski, Mikolaj. Stated Preferences for Conservation Policies Under Uncertainty: Insights on the Effect of Individuals' Risk Attitudes in the Environmental Domain[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL & RESOURCE ECONOMICS,2019-01-01,73(2):627-659
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