globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1007/s00703-017-0564-3
WOS记录号: WOS:000473164300001
论文题名:
Trends analysis of rainfall and rainfall extremes in Sarawak, Malaysia using modified Mann-Kendall test
作者: Sa'; adi, Zulfaqar1; Shahid, Shamsuddin1,2; Ismail, Tarmizi1; Chung, Eun-Sung3; Wang, Xiao-Jun4,5
通讯作者: Sa&#39 ; adi, Zulfaqar
刊名: METEOROLOGY AND ATMOSPHERIC PHYSICS
ISSN: 0177-7971
EISSN: 1436-5065
出版年: 2019
卷: 131, 期:3, 页码:263-277
语种: 英语
WOS关键词: MADDEN-JULIAN OSCILLATION ; PENINSULAR MALAYSIA ; PRECIPITATION EXTREMES ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; EAST-COAST ; TEMPERATURE ; VARIABILITY ; MONSOON ; IDENTIFICATION ; PATTERNS
WOS学科分类: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

This study assesses the spatial pattern of changes in rainfall extremes of Sarawak in recent years (1980-2014). The Mann-Kendall (MK) test along with modified Mann-Kendall (m-MK) test, which can discriminate multi-scale variability of unidirectional trend, was used to analyze the changes at 31 stations. Taking account of the scaling effect through eliminating the effect of autocorrelation, m-MK was employed to discriminate multi-scale variability of the unidirectional trends of the annual rainfall in Sarawak. It can confirm the significance of the MK test. The annual rainfall trend from MK test showed significant changes at 95% confidence level at five stations. The seasonal trends from MK test indicate an increasing rate of rainfall during the Northeast monsoon and a decreasing trend during the Southwest monsoon in some region of Sarawak. However, the m-MK test detected an increasing trend in annual rainfall only at one station and no significant trend in seasonal rainfall at any stations. The significant increasing trends of the 1-h maximum rainfall from the MK test are detected mainly at the stations located in the urban area giving concern to the occurrence of the flash flood. On the other hand, the m-MK test detected no significant trend in 1- and 3-h maximum rainfalls at any location. On the contrary, it detected significant trends in 6- and 72-h maximum rainfalls at a station located in the Lower Rajang basin area which is an extensive low-lying agricultural area and prone to stagnant flood. These results indicate that the trends in rainfall and rainfall extremes reported in Malaysia and surrounding region should be verified with m-MK test as most of the trends may result from scaling effect.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/139996
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: 1.Univ Teknol Malaysia, Fac Civil Engn, Johor Baharu, Malaysia
2.Univ Teknol Malaysia, Ctr Environm Sustainabil & Water Secur IPASA, Johor Baharu, Malaysia
3.Seoul Natl Univ Sci & Technol, Fac Civil Engn, Seoul 01811, South Korea
4.Nanjing Hydraul Res Inst, State Key Lab Hydrol Water Resources & Hydraul En, Nanjing 210029, Jiangsu, Peoples R China
5.Minist Water Resources, Res Ctr Climate Change, Nanjing 210029, Jiangsu, Peoples R China

Recommended Citation:
Sa',adi, Zulfaqar,Shahid, Shamsuddin,et al. Trends analysis of rainfall and rainfall extremes in Sarawak, Malaysia using modified Mann-Kendall test[J]. METEOROLOGY AND ATMOSPHERIC PHYSICS,2019-01-01,131(3):263-277
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