globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1175/JAMC-D-18-0174.1
WOS记录号: WOS:000469404300004
论文题名:
Global Patterns of Crop Production Losses Associated with Droughts from 1983 to 2009
作者: Kim, Wonsik; Iizumi, Toshichika; Nishimori, Motoki
通讯作者: Kim, Wonsik
刊名: JOURNAL OF APPLIED METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY
ISSN: 1558-8424
EISSN: 1558-8432
出版年: 2019
卷: 58, 期:6, 页码:1233-1244
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Drought ; Agriculture ; Crop growth ; Economic value
WOS关键词: SENSITIVITY ; INCREASE ; WEATHER
WOS学科分类: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

Droughts represent an important type of climate extreme that reduces crop production and food security. Although this fact is well known, the global geographic pattern of drought-driven reductions in crop production is poorly characterized. As the incidence of relatively more severe droughts is expected to increase under climate change, understanding the vulnerability of crop production to droughts is a key research priority. Here, we estimate the production losses of maize, rice, soy, and wheat from 1983 to 2009 using empirical relationships among crop yields, a drought index, and annual precipitation. We find that approximately three-fourths of the global harvested areas-454 million hectares-experienced drought-induced yield losses over this period, and the cumulative production losses correspond to 166 billion U.S. dollars. Globally averaged, one drought event decreases agricultural gross domestic production by 0.8%, with varying magnitudes of impacts by country. Crop production systems display decreased vulnerability or increased resilience to drought according to increases in per capita gross domestic production (GDP) in the countries with extensive semiarid agricultural areas. These changes in vulnerability accompany technological improvements represented by per capita GDP increases. Our estimates of drought-induced economic losses in agricultural systems offer a sound basis for subsequent assessments of the costs of adaptation to droughts under climate change.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/140018
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: Natl Agr & Food Res Org, Inst Agroenvironm Sci, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan

Recommended Citation:
Kim, Wonsik,Iizumi, Toshichika,Nishimori, Motoki. Global Patterns of Crop Production Losses Associated with Droughts from 1983 to 2009[J]. JOURNAL OF APPLIED METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY,2019-01-01,58(6):1233-1244
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