globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.3390/ijerph16122089
WOS记录号: WOS:000473750500023
论文题名:
Advancing our Understanding of Heat Wave Criteria and Associated Health Impacts to Improve Heat Wave Alerts in Developing Country Settings
作者: Nori-Sarma, Amruta1; Benmarhnia, Tarik2,3; Rajiva, Ajit1; Azhar, Gulrez Shah4; Gupta, Prakash5; Pednekar, Mangesh S.5; Bell, Michelle L.1
通讯作者: Nori-Sarma, Amruta
刊名: INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH
ISSN: 1660-4601
出版年: 2019
卷: 16, 期:12
语种: 英语
英文关键词: climate change ; extreme temperature events ; heat waves ; human health ; mortality ; PSM ; temperature-mortality relationships
WOS关键词: FRENCH CITIES ; AIR-POLLUTION ; MORTALITY ; TEMPERATURE ; ADAPTATION ; DEATHS
WOS学科分类: Environmental Sciences ; Public, Environmental & Occupational Health
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Public, Environmental & Occupational Health
英文摘要:

Health effects of heat waves with high baseline temperatures in areas such as India remain a critical research gap. In these regions, extreme temperatures may affect the underlying population's adaptive capacity; heat wave alerts should be optimized to avoid continuous high alert status and enhance constrained resources, especially under a changing climate. Data from registrars and meteorological departments were collected for four communities in Northwestern India. Propensity Score Matching (PSM) was used to obtain the relative risk of mortality and number of attributable deaths (i.e., absolute risk which incorporates the number of heat wave days) under a variety of heat wave definitions (n = 13) incorporating duration and intensity. Heat waves' timing in season was also assessed for potential effect modification. Relative risk of heat waves (risk of mortality comparing heat wave days to matched non-heat wave days) varied by heat wave definition and ranged from 1.28 [95% Confidence Interval: 1.11-1.46] in Churu (utilizing the 95th percentile of temperature for at least two consecutive days) to 1.03 [95% CI: 0.87-1.23] in Idar and Himmatnagar (utilizing the 95th percentile of temperature for at least four consecutive days). The data trended towards a higher risk for heat waves later in the season. Some heat wave definitions displayed similar attributable mortalities despite differences in the number of identified heat wave days. These findings provide opportunities to assess the "efficiency" (or number of days versus potential attributable health impacts) associated with alternative heat wave definitions. Findings on both effect modification and trade-offs between number of days identified as "heat wave" versus health effects provide tools for policy makers to determine the most important criteria for defining thresholds to trigger heat wave alerts.


Citation statistics:
被引频次[WOS]:21   [查看WOS记录]     [查看WOS中相关记录]
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/140127
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: 1.Yale Sch Forestry & Environm Studies, New Haven, CT 06511 USA
2.Univ Calif San Diego, Dept Family Med & Publ Hlth, La Jolla, CA 92093 USA
3.Univ Calif San Diego, Scripps Inst Oceanog, La Jolla, CA 92093 USA
4.Pardee RAND Grad Sch, Santa Monica, CA 90401 USA
5.Healis Sekhsaria Inst Publ Hlth, Navi Mumbai 400701, Maharashtra, India

Recommended Citation:
Nori-Sarma, Amruta,Benmarhnia, Tarik,Rajiva, Ajit,et al. Advancing our Understanding of Heat Wave Criteria and Associated Health Impacts to Improve Heat Wave Alerts in Developing Country Settings[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH,2019-01-01,16(12)
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