globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.5194/tc-13-1681-2019
WOS记录号: WOS:000471620000003
论文题名:
Sensitivity of a calving glacier to ice-ocean interactions under climate change: new insights from a 3-D full-Stokes model
作者: Todd, Joe1,2; Christoffersen, Poul1; Zwinger, Thomas3; Raback, Peter3; Benn, Douglas, I2
通讯作者: Todd, Joe
刊名: CRYOSPHERE
ISSN: 1994-0416
EISSN: 1994-0424
出版年: 2019
卷: 13, 期:6, 页码:1681-1694
语种: 英语
WOS关键词: TERMINATING OUTLET GLACIERS ; SEA-LEVEL RISE ; WEST GREENLAND ; TIDEWATER GLACIERS ; HELHEIM GLACIER ; TERMINUS POSITION ; EAST GREENLAND ; DYNAMICS ; SHEET ; ACCELERATION
WOS学科分类: Geography, Physical ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
WOS研究方向: Physical Geography ; Geology
英文摘要:

Iceberg calving accounts for between 30% and 60% of net mass loss from the Greenland Ice Sheet, which has intensified and is now the single largest contributor to global sea level rise in the cryosphere. Changes to calving rates and the dynamics of calving glaciers represent a significant uncertainty in projections of future sea level rise. A growing body of observational evidence suggests that calving glaciers respond rapidly to regional environmental change, but predictive capacity is limited by the lack of suitable models capable of simulating calving mechanisms realistically. Here, we use a 3-D full-Stokes calving model to investigate the environmental sensitivity of Store Glacier, a large outlet glacier in West Greenland. We focus on two environmental processes: undercutting by submarine melting and buttressing by ice melange, and our results indicate that Store Glacier is likely to be able to withstand moderate warming perturbations in which the former is increased by 50% and the latter reduced by 50 %. However, severe perturbation with a doubling of submarine melt rates or a complete loss of ice melange destabilises the calving front in our model runs. Furthermore, our analysis reveals that stress and fracture patterns at Store's terminus are complex and varied, primarily due to the influence of basal topography. Calving style and environmental sensitivity vary greatly, with propagation of surface crevasses significantly influencing iceberg production in the northern side, whereas basal crevasses dominate in the south. Any future retreat is likely to be initiated in the southern side by a combination of increased submarine melt rates in summer and reduced melange strength in winter. The lateral variability, as well as the importance of rotational and bending forces at the terminus, underlines the importance of using the 3-D full-Stokes stress solution when modelling Greenland's calving glaciers.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/140343
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: 1.Univ Cambridge, Scott Polar Res Inst, Cambridge, England
2.Univ St Andrews, Dept Geog & Sustainable Dev, St Andrews, Fife, Scotland
3.CSC IT Ctr Sci, Espoo, Finland

Recommended Citation:
Todd, Joe,Christoffersen, Poul,Zwinger, Thomas,et al. Sensitivity of a calving glacier to ice-ocean interactions under climate change: new insights from a 3-D full-Stokes model[J]. CRYOSPHERE,2019-01-01,13(6):1681-1694
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