globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2019.04.249
WOS记录号: WOS:000476966100037
论文题名:
Influencing factors and fluctuation characteristics of China's carbon emission trading price
作者: Zhou, Kaile1,2,3; Li, Yiwen1,2
通讯作者: Zhou, Kaile
刊名: PHYSICA A-STATISTICAL MECHANICS AND ITS APPLICATIONS
ISSN: 0378-4371
EISSN: 1873-2119
出版年: 2019
卷: 524, 页码:459-474
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Carbon market ; Carbon emission trading ; Carbon emission price ; Fluctuation characteristics
WOS关键词: COINTEGRATION
WOS学科分类: Physics, Multidisciplinary
WOS研究方向: Physics
英文摘要:

The environmental deterioration and resulting climate change have become one of the major challenges that human has faced in recent years. Carbon emission trading, as an effective economic tool to deal with climate change issues, has attracted widespread attention. As a major carbon emitter, China plays an important role in combating global climate change. Based on the carbon emission trading price data of China's Hubei Emission Exchange, a Vector Auto-Regressive (VAR)-Vector Error Correction (VEC) model is first used to investigate the dynamic relationship between energy price, macroeconomic indicators, air quality, and carbon emission trading price. The results show that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between carbon emission trading price and these indicators. When the carbon emission price is too high and deviates from the long-term equilibrium value, it will slowly decline to reach the long-term equilibrium value. The price of carbon emission trading is largely affected by macroeconomic indicators among all these influencing factors. In addition, a Generalized Auto-Regressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model is used to explore the fluctuation characteristics of China's carbon emission trading price. It is found that the return series of carbon emission price are consistent with the characteristics of financial time series, such as fluctuation aggregates, spikes and thick tails, and non-normal distribution. There is a positive leverage effect for the fluctuation of China's carbon emission price. It is further found that external bad news has a greater impact on the fluctuation of China's carbon emission trading price than good news. (C) 2019 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.


Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/140353
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: 1.Hefei Univ Technol, Sch Management, Hefei, Anhui, Peoples R China
2.Minist Educ, Key Lab Proc Optimizat & Intelligent Decis Making, Hefei, Anhui, Peoples R China
3.City Univ Hong Kong, Kowloon, Hong Kong, Peoples R China

Recommended Citation:
Zhou, Kaile,Li, Yiwen. Influencing factors and fluctuation characteristics of China's carbon emission trading price[J]. PHYSICA A-STATISTICAL MECHANICS AND ITS APPLICATIONS,2019-01-01,524:459-474
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[Zhou, Kaile]'s Articles
[Li, Yiwen]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[Zhou, Kaile]'s Articles
[Li, Yiwen]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[Zhou, Kaile]‘s Articles
[Li, Yiwen]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.