globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1029/2019GL082783
WOS记录号: WOS:000477616200031
论文题名:
A 250-Year European Drought Inventory Derived From Ensemble Hydrologic Modeling
作者: Moravec, Vojtech1; Markonis, Yannis1; Rakovec, Oldrich1,2; Kumar, Rohini2; Hanel, Martin1
通讯作者: Moravec, Vojtech
刊名: GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
ISSN: 0094-8276
EISSN: 1944-8007
出版年: 2019
卷: 46, 期:11, 页码:5909-5917
语种: 英语
英文关键词: drought ; hydrological ensemble ; natural hazards ; drought types ; climate extremes ; Europe
WOS关键词: CLIMATE-CHANGE ; SOIL-MOISTURE ; RECONSTRUCTIONS ; VARIABILITY ; IMPACTS
WOS学科分类: Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
WOS研究方向: Geology
英文摘要:

We present a 250-year (1766-2015) inventory of European meteorological, hydrological, and agricultural droughts derived from ensemble simulations of the mesoscale Hydrological Model (mHM). The inventory of droughts takes into account an ensemble of 100 simulations from the hydrological model, allowing for assessment of how different meteorological forcing and model parameterizations affect a drought ranking. For the most extreme droughts, the variability in the ranking of drought events is low, while for the years with moderate precipitation deficits, the variability increases. Despite the underlying uncertainties, our drought inventory shows increased recurrence of soil moisture droughts in the Mediterranean and declining spatial extent of hydrological drought in Central Europe over the last three decades.


Plain Language Summary Drought is one of the most costly natural hazards. Complete understanding of this phenomenon evades us because drought needs a long period of time to evolve and when it does, it might propagate through different components of the hydrological cycle. For example, meteorological drought, which is a lack of rainfall, might result in hydrological drought (low discharge/lake levels), agricultural drought (low soil moisture), or both. This is why it is important to record past occurrences of individual droughts to better understand under what conditions they propagated. To address this, herein we produce a 250-year long European drought inventory based on hydrological modeling that presents the interaction of the three types of drought, namely, meteorological, hydrological, and agricultural, as well as their properties in a single, comprehensive framework.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/140426
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: 1.Czech Univ Life Sci Prague, Fac Environm Sci, Prague, Czech Republic
2.UFZ Helmholtz Ctr Environm Res, Leipzig, Germany

Recommended Citation:
Moravec, Vojtech,Markonis, Yannis,Rakovec, Oldrich,et al. A 250-Year European Drought Inventory Derived From Ensemble Hydrologic Modeling[J]. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2019-01-01,46(11):5909-5917
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