globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1029/2018JD029207
WOS记录号: WOS:000477800000002
论文题名:
Bridging the Gap Between Policy-Driven Land Use Changes and Regional Climate Projections
作者: Berckmans, Julie1,2; Hamdi, Rafiq1; Dendoncker, Nicolas3
通讯作者: Berckmans, Julie
刊名: JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES
ISSN: 2169-897X
EISSN: 2169-8996
出版年: 2019
卷: 124, 期:12, 页码:5934-5950
语种: 英语
英文关键词: climate change ; near future ; land use change ; temperature ; western Europe
WOS关键词: COVER CHANGE ; HEAT-ISLAND ; URBAN ; IMPACTS ; MODEL ; TEMPERATURE ; SCENARIOS ; URBANIZATION ; INTENSITY ; SUMMER
WOS学科分类: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

Changes in the land surface interact with a changing climate. Moreover, the impact of land surface changes on the local and regional climate can be as large as the impact of increasing greenhouse gas emissions. The land surface-climate interactions are best represented by high-resolution models to capture the mesoscale circulation features. The future land surface changes are preferably represented by scenarios that illustrate plausible storylines. Furthermore, the impact of future urbanization is relevant for the highly urbanized region of Europe. In this study, we assess the interactions between climate and land surface dynamics by modeling the near-future climate state for western Europe based on a policy-driven land use change scenario at high resolution. The global climate model CNRM-CM5.1 has been downscaled to the regional climate of western Europe by using ALARO-SURFEX at 4-km horizontal resolution. SURFEX provides a parameterization of the urban physical properties so that the impact of urban surfaces on the regional climate can be modeled realistically. Results are interpreted with respect to the near-future climate change without land surface changes. The near future presents a uniform temperature increase of 0.3-0.6 degrees C. This is in contrast to changes by the land surface that are more heterogeneous in space and much stronger at the local scale. Deforestation and conversion to arable land diminishes climate change effects, whereas urbanization results in an enhancing effect of climate change. Moreover, urbanization is as big as the radiative forcing warming for minimum temperature.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/140619
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: 1.Royal Meteorol Inst, Brussels, Belgium
2.Antwerp Univ, Biol Dept, Ctr Excellence PLECO Plants & Ecosyst, Antwerp, Belgium
3.Univ Namur, Dept Geog, Namur, Belgium

Recommended Citation:
Berckmans, Julie,Hamdi, Rafiq,Dendoncker, Nicolas. Bridging the Gap Between Policy-Driven Land Use Changes and Regional Climate Projections[J]. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES,2019-01-01,124(12):5934-5950
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