globalchange  > 影响、适应和脆弱性
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/10/1/014008
论文题名:
Towards pan-European drought risk maps: quantifying the link between drought indices and reported drought impacts
作者: Veit Blauhut; Lukas Gudmundsson; Kerstin Stahl
刊名: Environmental Research Letters
ISSN: 1748-9326
出版年: 2015
发表日期: 2015-01-13
卷: 10, 期:1
语种: 英语
英文摘要:

Drought in Europe is a hazard with a wide range of transboundary, environmental and socio-economic impacts on various sectors including agriculture, energy production, public water supply and water quality. Despite the apparent importance of this natural hazard, observed pan-European drought impacts have not yet been quantitatively related to the most important climatological drivers to map drought risk on a continental scale. This contribution approaches the issue by quantitatively assessing the likelihood of drought impact occurrence as a function of the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index for four European macro regions using logistic regression. The resulting models allow mapping the sector-specific likelihood of drought impact occurrence for specific index levels. For the most severe drought conditions the maps suggest the highest risk of impact occurrence for 'Water Quality' in Maritime Europe, followed by 'Agriculture & Livestock Farming' in Western Mediterranean Europe and 'Energy & Industry' in Maritime Europe. Merely impacts on 'Public Water Supply' result in overall lower risk estimates. The work suggests that modeling and mapping for North- and Southeastern Europe requires further enhancement to the impact database in these regions. Such maps may become an essential component of drought risk management to foster resilience for this hazard at large scale.

URL: http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/10/1/014008
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/14070
Appears in Collections:影响、适应和脆弱性
气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: Faculty of Environment and Natural Resources, University of Freiburg, Fahnenbergplatz, D-79098 Freiburg, Germany;Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Universitätstrasse 16, 8092 Zurich, Switzerland;Faculty of Environment and Natural Resources, University of Freiburg, Fahnenbergplatz, D-79098 Freiburg, Germany

Recommended Citation:
Veit Blauhut,Lukas Gudmundsson,Kerstin Stahl. Towards pan-European drought risk maps: quantifying the link between drought indices and reported drought impacts[J]. Environmental Research Letters,2015-01-01,10(1)
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