globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1175/JAS-D-18-0342.1
WOS记录号: WOS:000471869400001
论文题名:
Potential Vorticity Diagnostics to Quantify Effects of Latent Heating in Extratropical Cyclones. Part II: Application to Idealized Climate Change Simulations
作者: Bueeler, Dominik1,2; Pfahl, Stephan1,3
通讯作者: Bueeler, Dominik
刊名: JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
ISSN: 0022-4928
EISSN: 1520-0469
出版年: 2019
卷: 76, 期:7, 页码:1885-1902
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Extratropical cyclones ; Potential vorticity ; Climate change ; Latent heating ; cooling ; General circulation models ; Mesoscale models
WOS关键词: NORTH-ATLANTIC ; HYDROLOGICAL CYCLE ; DIABATIC PROCESSES ; BAROCLINIC WAVES ; STATIC STABILITY ; MODEL ; SENSITIVITY ; TEMPERATURE ; STORM ; DYNAMICS
WOS学科分类: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

It is still debated how enhanced cloud-condensational latent heating (LH) in a warmer and moister climate may affect the dynamics of extratropical cyclones. In this study, a diagnostic method that explicitly quantifies the contribution of LH to the lower-tropospheric cyclonic potential vorticity (PV) anomaly is used to investigate the effects of stronger LH on the dynamics, intensity, and impacts of cyclones in two conceptually different sets of idealized climate change simulations. A first set of regional surrogate climate change simulations of individual moderate to intense Northern Hemisphere cyclones in a spatially homogeneously 4-K-warmer climate reveals that enhanced LH can largely but not exclusively explain the substantially varying increase in intensity and impacts of most of these cyclones. A second set of idealized aquaplanet GCM simulations demonstrates that the role of enhanced LH becomes multifaceted for large ensembles of cyclones if climate warming is additionally accompanied by changes in the horizontal and vertical temperature structure: cyclone intensity increases with warming due to the continuous increase in LH, reaches a maximum in climates warmer than present day, and decreases beyond a certain warming once the increase of LH is overcompensated by the counteracting reduction in mean available potential energy. Because of their substantially stronger increase in LH, the most intense cyclones reach their maximum intensity in warmer climates than moderately intense cyclones with weaker LH. This suggests that future projections of the extreme tail of the storm tracks might be particularly sensitive to a correct representation of LH.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/140806
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作者单位: 1.Swiss Fed Inst Technol, Inst Atmospher & Climate Sci, Zurich, Switzerland
2.Karlsruhe Inst Technol, Inst Meteorol & Climate Res, Karlsruhe, Germany
3.Free Univ Berlin, Inst Meteorol, Berlin, Germany

Recommended Citation:
Bueeler, Dominik,Pfahl, Stephan. Potential Vorticity Diagnostics to Quantify Effects of Latent Heating in Extratropical Cyclones. Part II: Application to Idealized Climate Change Simulations[J]. JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES,2019-01-01,76(7):1885-1902
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