globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolind.2019.02.020
WOS记录号: WOS:000470964500019
论文题名:
Modelling the vulnerability of Taxus wallichiana to climate change scenarios in South East Asia
作者: Rathore, Pooja; Roy, Arijit; Karnatak, Harish
通讯作者: Roy, Arijit
刊名: ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS
ISSN: 1470-160X
EISSN: 1872-7034
出版年: 2019
卷: 102, 页码:199-207
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Endangered Taxus wallichiana ; Climate change scenarios in mountains ; Ensemble species modelling ; Species-environment relationships
WOS关键词: SPECIES DISTRIBUTION ; GLOBAL BIODIVERSITY ; TREE ; NORTH ; TAXOL ; WATER ; SIZE
WOS学科分类: Biodiversity Conservation ; Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向: Biodiversity & Conservation ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
英文摘要:

Taxus wallichiana (Himalayan yew) has been subjected to over-exploitation for its anti-cancer ingredient Taxol. As a consequence, the species has already become endangered, facing enhanced threats of regional extinction. To compound this, the species shows high vulnerability to climate change impacts that may significantly reduce its present climatic niche. In spite of the ecological and enormous commercial importance of the species, the direct or indirect impacts of climate change on the species are not yet well-researched and well-documented. To develop sustainable adaptation pathways to conserve the surviving populations of the species, it is important to have precise assessments of the future distribution ranges of the species. The present study models the potential current and future distribution ranges of Taxus wallichiana based on its suitable climatic envelop developed under a baseline scenario (1960-1990) and climate change scenarios centred on representative concentration pathways (RCPs) for the year 2070, as provided in the Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) of the UNO's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). The projected shrink in climatic niche of Taxus wallichiana by 28% (RCP 4.5) and 31% (RCP 8.5) highlights the vulnerability of the endangered species to climate change impacts and the perturbations on the structure of mountain ecosystem. It raises an alarm for immediate conservation of geographic areas that can provide potential refuge to the species under the adverse climate change impacts.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/140864
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: Indian Space Res Org, Indian Inst Remote Sensing, Dept Space, 4 Kalidas Rd, Dehra Dun 248001, India

Recommended Citation:
Rathore, Pooja,Roy, Arijit,Karnatak, Harish. Modelling the vulnerability of Taxus wallichiana to climate change scenarios in South East Asia[J]. ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS,2019-01-01,102:199-207
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