globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0611.1
WOS记录号: WOS:000472652400004
论文题名:
Physical Understanding of Human-Induced Changes in US Hot Droughts Using Equilibrium Climate Simulations
作者: Cheng, Linyin1; Hoerling, Martin2; Liu, Zhiyong3,4; Eischeid, Jon5
通讯作者: Cheng, Linyin
刊名: JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
ISSN: 0894-8755
EISSN: 1520-0442
出版年: 2019
卷: 32, 期:14, 页码:4431-4443
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Atmosphere-land interaction ; Climate change ; Hydrology ; Statistical techniques ; Climate models
WOS关键词: UNITED-STATES ; EUROPEAN SUMMER ; SOIL-MOISTURE ; HEAT WAVES ; TEMPERATURE VARIABILITY ; VINE-COPULA ; MODEL ; ATMOSPHERE ; DEPENDENCE ; FRAMEWORK
WOS学科分类: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

Although the link between droughts and heat waves is widely recognized, how climate change affects this link remains uncertain. Here we assess how, and by how much, human-induced climate change affects summertime hot drought compound events over the contiguous United States. Results are derived by comparing hot drought statistics in long simulations of a coupled climate model (CESM1) subjected to year-1850 and year-2000 radiative forcings. Within each climate state, a strong and nonlinear dependency of heat-wave intensity on drought severity is found in water-limited regions of the southern Great Plains and southwestern United States whereas heat-wave intensity is found to be insensitive to drought severity in energy-limited regions of the northern and/or northeastern United States. Applying a statistical model that is based on pair-copula constructions, we find that anthropogenic warming leads to enhanced soil moisture-temperature coupling in water-limited areas of the southern Great Plains and/or southwestern United States and consequently amplifies the intensity of extreme heat waves during severe droughts. This strengthened coupling accounts for a substantial fraction of rising temperature extremes related to the long-term climate change in CESM1, highlighting the importance of changes in land-atmosphere feedback in a warmer climate. In contrast, coupling effects remain weak and largely unchanged in energy-limited regions, thereby yielding no appreciable contribution to heat-wave intensification over the northern and/or northeastern United States apart from the long-term warming effects.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/141049
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: 1.Univ Arkansas, Dept Geosci, Fayetteville, AR 72701 USA
2.NOAA, Phys Sci Div, Earth Syst Res Lab, Boulder, CO USA
3.Sun Yat Sen Univ, Dept Ctr Water Resources & Environm, Guangzhou, Guangdong, Peoples R China
4.Sun Yat Sen Univ, Guangdong Engn Technol Res Ctr Water Secur Regula, Guangzhou, Guangdong, Peoples R China
5.Univ Colorado, Cooperat Inst Res Environm Sci, Boulder, CO USA

Recommended Citation:
Cheng, Linyin,Hoerling, Martin,Liu, Zhiyong,et al. Physical Understanding of Human-Induced Changes in US Hot Droughts Using Equilibrium Climate Simulations[J]. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,2019-01-01,32(14):4431-4443
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