globalchange  > 影响、适应和脆弱性
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/10/3/031001
论文题名:
The time lag between a carbon dioxide emission and maximum warming increases with the size of the emission
作者: Kirsten Zickfeld; Tyler Herrington
刊名: Environmental Research Letters
ISSN: 1748-9326
出版年: 2015
发表日期: 2015-03-10
卷: 10, 期:3
语种: 英语
英文摘要:

In a recent letter, Ricke and Caldeira (2014 Environ. Res. Lett. 9 124002) estimated that the timing between an emission and the maximum temperature response is a decade on average. In their analysis, they took into account uncertainties about the carbon cycle, the rate of ocean heat uptake and the climate sensitivity but did not consider one important uncertainty: the size of the emission. Using simulations with an Earth System Model we show that the time lag between a carbon dioxide (CO2) emission pulse and the maximum warming increases for larger pulses. Our results suggest that as CO2 accumulates in the atmosphere, the full warming effect of an emission may not be felt for several decades, if not centuries. Most of the warming, however, will emerge relatively quickly, implying that CO2 emission cuts will not only benefit subsequent generations but also the generation implementing those cuts.

URL: http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/10/3/031001
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/14108
Appears in Collections:影响、适应和脆弱性
气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: Department of Geography, Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, B.C., Canada;Department of Geography, Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, B.C., Canada;Department of Geography, Douglas College, New Westminster, B.C., Canada

Recommended Citation:
Kirsten Zickfeld,Tyler Herrington. The time lag between a carbon dioxide emission and maximum warming increases with the size of the emission[J]. Environmental Research Letters,2015-01-01,10(3)
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