globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1175/WCAS-D-18-0126.1
WOS记录号: WOS:000475908100001
论文题名:
Communicating Climate Change: Probabilistic Expressions and Concrete Events
作者: Joslyn, Susan; Demnitz, Raoni
通讯作者: Joslyn, Susan
刊名: WEATHER CLIMATE AND SOCIETY
ISSN: 1948-8327
EISSN: 1948-8335
出版年: 2019
卷: 11, 期:3, 页码:651-664
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate change ; Communications ; decision making ; Societal impacts
WOS关键词: FORECAST UNCERTAINTY ; SCIENCE ; SUPPORT ; POLICY ; INFORMATION ; PERCEPTION ; RESPONSES ; BELIEFS ; FRAMES ; TRUST
WOS学科分类: Environmental Studies ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

Despite near unanimous agreement among climate scientists about global warming, a substantial proportion of Americans remain skeptical or unconcerned. The two experiments reported here tested communication strategies designed to increase trust in and concern about climate change. They also measured attitudes toward climate scientists. Climate predictions were systematically manipulated to include either probabilistic (90% predictive interval) or deterministic (mean value) projections that described either concrete (i.e., heat waves and floods) or abstract events (i.e., temperature and precipitation). The results revealed that projections that included the 90% predictive interval were considered more trustworthy than deterministic projections. In addition, in a nationally representative sample, Republicans who were informed of concrete events with predictive intervals reported greater concern and more favorable attitudes toward climate scientists than when deterministic projections were used. Overall, these findings suggest that while climate change beliefs may be rooted in partisan identity, they remain malleable, especially when targeted communication strategies are used.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/141091
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: Univ Washington, Seattle, WA 98195 USA

Recommended Citation:
Joslyn, Susan,Demnitz, Raoni. Communicating Climate Change: Probabilistic Expressions and Concrete Events[J]. WEATHER CLIMATE AND SOCIETY,2019-01-01,11(3):651-664
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