globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.3390/f10070584
WOS记录号: WOS:000482080800007
论文题名:
Exploring Nonlinear Intra-Annual Growth Dynamics in Fagus sylvatica L. Trees at the Italian ICP-Forests Level II Network
作者: Ferrara, Carlotta1; Marchi, Maurizio2; Fabbio, Gianfranco2; Fares, Silvano1; Bertini, Giada2; Piovosi, Maurizio2; Salvati, Luca1
通讯作者: Marchi, Maurizio
刊名: FORESTS
EISSN: 1999-4907
出版年: 2019
卷: 10, 期:7
语种: 英语
英文关键词: forest monitoring ; climate change ; dendrometer ; stem growth ; climate change scenarios
WOS关键词: SPECIES DISTRIBUTION MODELS ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; FUTURE ; BIODIVERSITY ; MORTALITY ; FRAMEWORK ; SERVICES ; DROUGHT ; EUROPE ; ZONES
WOS学科分类: Forestry
WOS研究方向: Forestry
英文摘要:

The European beech (Fagus sylvatica L.) is a widely distributed tree species across Europe, highly sensitive to climate change and global warming. This study illustrates results of a 5-year monitoring time period from eight sites of the ICP-Forests Level II (intensive monitoring network) along the Italian latitudinal gradient. The tree-level relationship between tree growth dynamics and environmental factors, including seasonal climate fluctuations were investigated by means of tree-level Generalized Additive Mixed Models (GAMMs). Model results revealed that climate was responsible for just a portion of the variability in beech growth dynamics. Even if climatic predictors were highly significant in almost all sites, the model explained nearly 30% of the total variance (with just a maximum value of 71.6%), leaving the remaining variance unexplained and likely connected with forest management trajectories applied to each site (e.g., aged coppice and fully grown high forest). Climate change scenarios were then applied to predict site-specific future responses. By applying climate change scenarios, it was predicted that central and northern Italy would face similar climatic conditions to those currently detected at southern latitudes. A special case study was represented by VEN1 plot (Veneto, Northern Italy) whose current and future climate regimes were grouped in a unique and separated cluster.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/141148
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: 1.CREA Res Ctr Forestry & Wood, I-00166 Rome, Italy
2.CREA Res Ctr Forestry & Wood, I-52100 Arezzo, Italy

Recommended Citation:
Ferrara, Carlotta,Marchi, Maurizio,Fabbio, Gianfranco,et al. Exploring Nonlinear Intra-Annual Growth Dynamics in Fagus sylvatica L. Trees at the Italian ICP-Forests Level II Network[J]. FORESTS,2019-01-01,10(7)
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