COUPLED MODEL
; SYSTEM MODEL
; KERNEL TECHNIQUE
; BASIC EVALUATION
; FEEDBACKS
; ADJUSTMENTS
; CONSTRAINT
; SPREAD
; CMIP5
WOS学科分类:
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向:
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:
We analyze the radiative forcing and radiative response at Earth's surface, where perturbations in the radiation budget regulate the atmospheric hydrological cycle. By applying a radiative kernel-regression technique to CMIP5 climate model simulations where CO2 is instantaneously quadrupled, we evaluate the intermodel spread in surface instantaneous radiative forcing, radiative adjustments to this forcing, and radiative responses to surface warming. The cloud radiative adjustment to CO2 forcing and the temperature-mediated cloud radiative response exhibit significant intermodel spread. In contrast to its counterpart at the top of the atmosphere, the temperature-mediated cloud radiative response at the surface is found to be positive in some models and negative in others. Also, the compensation between the temperature-mediated lapse rate and water vapor radiative responses found in top-of-atmosphere calculations is not present for surface radiative flux changes. Instantaneous radiative forcing at the surface is rarely reported for model simulations; as a result, intermodel differences have not previously been evaluated in global climate models. We demonstrate that the instantaneous radiative forcing is the largest contributor to intermodel spread in effective radiative forcing at the surface. We also find evidence of differences in radiative parameterizations in current models and argue that this is a significant, but largely overlooked, source of bias in climate change simulations.
1.Univ Miami, Rosenstiel Sch Marine & Atmospher Sci, 4600 Rickenbacker Causeway, Miami, FL 33149 USA 2.Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, POB 3000, Boulder, CO 80307 USA
Recommended Citation:
Kramer, Ryan J.,Soden, Brian J.,Pendergrass, Angeline G.. Evaluating Climate Model Simulations of the Radiative Forcing and Radiative Response at Earth's Surface[J]. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,2019-01-01,32(13):4089-4102