globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.3390/jmse7070225
WOS记录号: WOS:000478581900012
论文题名:
Steps towards Modeling Community Resilience under Climate Change: Hazard Model Development
作者: Dresback, Kendra M.1; Szpilka, Christine M.1; Xue, Xianwu2; Vergara, Humberto3; Wang, Naiyu4; Kolar, Randall L.1; Xu, Jia5; Geoghegan, Kevin M.6
通讯作者: Dresback, Kendra M.
刊名: JOURNAL OF MARINE SCIENCE AND ENGINEERING
EISSN: 2077-1312
出版年: 2019
卷: 7, 期:7
语种: 英语
英文关键词: total water level ; tropical cyclones ; climate change ; coastal resilience ; coupled model system
WOS关键词: SEA-LEVEL RISE ; STORM-SURGE ; HURRICANE WAVES ; RAINFALL-RUNOFF ; WIND ; PREDICTION ; SYSTEM ; BASIN ; SWAN
WOS学科分类: Oceanography
WOS研究方向: Oceanography
英文摘要:

With a growing population (over 40%) living in coastal counties within the U.S., there is an increasing risk that coastal communities will be significantly impacted by riverine/coastal flooding and high winds associated with tropical cyclones. Climate change could exacerbate these risks; thus, it would be prudent for coastal communities to plan for resilience in the face of these uncertainties. In order to address all of these risks, a coupled physics-based modeling system has been developed that simulates total water levels. This system uses parametric models for both rainfall and wind, which only require essential information (e.g., track and central pressure) generated by a hurricane model. The system is validated with Hurricane Isabel hindcasts: One using the parametric system and another using data assimilated fields. The results show a good agreement to the available data, indicating that the system is able to adequately capture the hazards using parametric models, as compared to optimized fields. The validated system was then utilized to simulate randomly generated scenarios that account for future uncertainty, i.e., amount of sea level rise and storm strength/track, as influenced by projected climate change scenarios. Results are then used in next step in the development of a system-wide, community resilience model.


Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/141315
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: 1.Univ Oklahoma, Sch Civil Engn & Environm Sci, Norman, OK 73019 USA
2.NOAA, Environm Modeling Ctr, Natl Ctr Environm Predict, College Pk, MD 20740 USA
3.Univ Oklahoma, Natl Weather Ctr, Cooperat Inst Mesoscale Meteorol, Norman, OK 73019 USA
4.Zhejiang Univ, Coll Civil Engn & Architecture, Hangzhou 310058, Zhejiang, Peoples R China
5.Dalian Univ Technol, Sch Civil & Hydraul Engn, Dalian 116024, Peoples R China
6.Northwest Hydraul Consultants, Seattle, WA 98168 USA

Recommended Citation:
Dresback, Kendra M.,Szpilka, Christine M.,Xue, Xianwu,et al. Steps towards Modeling Community Resilience under Climate Change: Hazard Model Development[J]. JOURNAL OF MARINE SCIENCE AND ENGINEERING,2019-01-01,7(7)
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[Dresback, Kendra M.]'s Articles
[Szpilka, Christine M.]'s Articles
[Xue, Xianwu]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[Dresback, Kendra M.]'s Articles
[Szpilka, Christine M.]'s Articles
[Xue, Xianwu]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[Dresback, Kendra M.]‘s Articles
[Szpilka, Christine M.]‘s Articles
[Xue, Xianwu]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.