Ecological niche modeling (ENM) is widely employed in ecology to predict species' potential geographic distributions in relation to their environmental constraints and is rapidly becoming the gold-standard method for disease risk mapping. However, given the biological complexity of disease systems, the traditional ENM framework requires reevaluation. We provide an overview of the application of ENM to disease systems and propose a theoretical framework based on the biological properties of both hosts and parasites to produce reliable outputs resembling disease system distributions. Additionally, we discuss the differances between biological considerations when implementing ENM for distributional ecology and epidemiology. This new framework will help the field of disease ecology and applications of biogeography in the epidemiology of infectious diseases.
1.EcoHlth Alliance, 460 W 34th St, New York, NY 10001 USA 2.Virginia Tech, Dept Fish & Wildlife Conservat, Blacksburg, VA USA 3.CUNY City Coll, Dept Biol, 138Th St & Convent Ave, New York, NY 10031 USA 4.CUNY, Grad Ctr, New York, NY 10016 USA
Recommended Citation:
Johnson, Erica E.,Escobar, Luis E.,Zambrana-Torrelio, Carlos. An Ecological Framework for Modeling the Geography of Disease Transmission[J]. TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION,2019-01-01,34(7):655-668