Environmental Sciences & Ecology
; Business & Economics
英文摘要:
Using fine-scale panel data and an econometric model, we predict land use change in the Midwestern United States if a new bioenergy crop, Miscanthus x Giganteus (miscanthus), is introduced. To explain farmers' current crop choices, we use a local, limited dependent variable regression based on soil and weather characteristics. To this model, we add miscanthus as a new crop, based on its place dependent BioCro model-predicted yield. We find that the vast majority of land used to grow miscanthus will come from land now used for non-major crops, pasture, woodland, and other uses. This implies that miscanthus can help mitigate climate change by displacing oil usage without causing food conflict.
1.Renmin Univ China, Sch Appl Econ, Dept Energy Econ, 939 Mingde Main Bldg,59 Zhongguancun Ave, Beijing 100872, Peoples R China 2.Envis Geo LLC, POB 91, Oakville, CA 94562 USA 3.Univ Calif Berkeley, Dept Agr & Resource Econ & Policy, 241 Univ Hall, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA 4.Univ Illinois, Inst Genom Biol, 1206 West Gregory Dr, Urbana, IL 61801 USA 5.Univ Calif Berkeley, Sustainable Dev, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA 6.Univ Illinois, Urbana, IL USA
Recommended Citation:
Xie, Lunyu,MacDonald, Sarah L.,Auffhammer, Maximilian,et al. Environment or food: Modeling future land use patterns of miscanthus for bioenergy using fine scale data[J]. ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS,2019-01-01,161:225-236