globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.1061/(ASCE)HE.1943-5584.0001773
WOS记录号: WOS:000467997500010
论文题名:
Statistical Analysis of Discharge Fluctuations in a Semiarid Basin Using Effective Atmospheric Teleconnections: Dez River Basin in Iran
作者: Mousavi, Roya Sadat1; Marofi, Safar2; Gupta, Hoshin Vijai3; Ahmadizadeh, Mojtaba1
通讯作者: Marofi, Safar
刊名: JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGIC ENGINEERING
ISSN: 1084-0699
EISSN: 1943-5584
出版年: 2019
卷: 24, 期:7
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate variability ; Discharge ; Statistical analysis ; Dez Basin ; El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) ; North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO)
WOS关键词: TREND ANALYSIS ; SOUTHERN-OSCILLATION ; SOUTHWEST ASIA ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; DETECT TREND ; PRECIPITATION ; DROUGHT ; STREAMFLOW ; RAINFALL ; ENSO
WOS学科分类: Engineering, Civil ; Environmental Sciences ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向: Engineering ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Water Resources
英文摘要:

This paper investigated the variability of freshwater discharge (Q) in the Dez River Basin in Iran and its possible links to the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Nonparametric statistical tests were applied to analyze fluctuations of discharge and teleconnection indexes. The results indicated statistically significant monotonic decreases of the discharge and peak flow (p-value <0.05) across most of the subbasins. Furthermore, a downward step change was detected in discharge time series around the mid-1990s from 14.7% to 43.3% with respect to long-term values. Similarly, almost concurrent shifts detected in the Oceanic Nino Index (ONI) (from +0.254 to -0.416 in 1998) and the NAO (from +0.196 to -0.155 in 1995) that suggest changing conditions toward more cold phases of ENSO and negative phases of NAO coincided with discharge and monthly peak flow depletion. Comparing the amount of discharges during different phases showed that Q(El Nin similar to o)>Q(neutral)>Q(La Nin similar to a) and Q(NAO+)>Q(NAO-). Furthermore, the Mann-Whitney U test verified statistically significant differences (p-value <0.05) between flows pertaining to different phases of both ENSO and NAO. Correlations between discharge and teleconnection indexes indicated that discharge is apparently affected by teleconnections considering the lag time.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/142780
Appears in Collections:全球变化的国际研究计划

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作者单位: 1.Bu Ali Sina Univ, Dept Water Sci Engn, Water Resources Engn, Hamadan 6517838695, Iran
2.Bu Ali Sina Univ, Dept Water Sci Engn, Hamadan 6517838695, Iran
3.Univ Arizona, Dept Hydrol & Water Resources, Tucson, AZ 85721 USA

Recommended Citation:
Mousavi, Roya Sadat,Marofi, Safar,Gupta, Hoshin Vijai,et al. Statistical Analysis of Discharge Fluctuations in a Semiarid Basin Using Effective Atmospheric Teleconnections: Dez River Basin in Iran[J]. JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGIC ENGINEERING,2019-01-01,24(7)
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