globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.1080/09670874.2018.1533664
WOS记录号: WOS:000476896100002
论文题名:
Predicting the distribution of harmful species and their natural enemies in agricultural, livestock and forestry systems: an overview
作者: Victoria Lantschner, M.1; de la Vega, Gerardo1; Corley, Juan C.1,2
通讯作者: Victoria Lantschner, M.
刊名: INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF PEST MANAGEMENT
ISSN: 0967-0874
EISSN: 1366-5863
出版年: 2019
卷: 65, 期:3, 页码:190-206
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Species distribution models (SDMs) ; pests ; weeds ; pathogens
WOS关键词: DISTRIBUTION MODELS ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; BIOLOGICAL INVASIONS ; GLOBAL CHANGE ; RESPONSES ; FUTURE ; PESTS ; SUITABILITY ; PERFORMANCE ; PATHOGENS
WOS学科分类: Entomology
WOS研究方向: Entomology
英文摘要:

Predicting the potential distribution of harmful species to agriculture, livestock and forestry is decisive to prevent their impacts, especially when these are expanding their range due to global change. Recent advances in species distribution modelling (SDM) have made these tools widely used for biosecurity studies. We reviewed the available literature of SDM for pest, weeds, pathogen species and biological-control agents, with the aims of synthesizing and quantifying the available information, and identifying gaps in the knowledge and future perspectives. SDMs for 420 species were collected from 220 publications. Insect pests were the most frequently studied organisms. CLIMEX and MaxEnt were the most commonly used modelling tools, while pure mechanistic approaches were rarely applied. Most studies covered broad scales, and focused on predicting the distribution of invasive species and/or the effects of climate change. The challenge remains for models to include disturbance, resource availability, and biotic factors, as well as to better quantify uncertainty. This future directions will be fundamental to improve the predictive power of SDMs for productive systems in the context of a rapidly changing World.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/143102
Appears in Collections:全球变化的国际研究计划

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作者单位: 1.Consejo Nacl Invest Cient & Tecn, INTA, Inst Invest Forestales & Agr Bariloche, Grp Ecol Poblac Insectos, San Carlos De Bariloche, Rio Negro, Argentina
2.Univ Nacl Comahue, Ctr Reg Univ Bariloche, Dept Ecol, San Carlos De Bariloche, Rio Negro, Argentina

Recommended Citation:
Victoria Lantschner, M.,de la Vega, Gerardo,Corley, Juan C.. Predicting the distribution of harmful species and their natural enemies in agricultural, livestock and forestry systems: an overview[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF PEST MANAGEMENT,2019-01-01,65(3):190-206
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