globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.1002/ece3.5401
WOS记录号: WOS:000474182300001
论文题名:
Are polar bear habitat resource selection functions developed from 1985-1995 data still useful?
作者: Durner, George M.1; Douglas, David C.2; Atwood, Todd C.1
通讯作者: Durner, George M.
刊名: ECOLOGY AND EVOLUTION
ISSN: 2045-7758
出版年: 2019
卷: 9, 期:15, 页码:8625-8638
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Arctic ; climate change ; habitat ; polar bear ; resource selection functions ; sea ice ; Ursus maritimus
WOS关键词: SEA-ICE ; BEAUFORT SEA ; WILDLIFE ; DYNAMICS ; CANADA ; EDGE
WOS学科分类: Ecology ; Evolutionary Biology
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Evolutionary Biology
英文摘要:

Greenhouse-gas-induced warming in the Arctic has caused declines in sea ice extent and changed its composition, raising concerns by all circumpolar nations for polar bear conservation. Negative impacts have been observed in three well-studied polar bear subpopulations. Most subpopulations, however, receive little or no direct monitoring, hence, resource selection functions (RSF) may provide a useful proxy of polar bear distributions. However, the efficacy of RSFs constructed from past data, that is, reference RSFs, may be degraded under contemporary conditions, especially in a rapidly changing environment. We assessed published Arctic-wide reference RSFs using tracking data from adult female polar bears captured in the Beaufort Sea. We compared telemetry-derived seasonal distributions of polar bears to RSF-defined optimal sea ice habitat during the period of RSF model development, 1985-1995, and two subsequent periods with diminished sea ice: 1996-2006 and 2007-2016. From these comparisons, we assessed the applicability of the reference RSFs for contemporary polar bear conservation. In the two decades following the 1985-1995 reference period, use and availability of optimal habitat by polar bears declined during the ice melt, ice minimum, and ice growth seasons. During the ice maximum season (i.e., winter), polar bears used the best habitat available, which changed relatively little across the three decades of study. During the ice melt, ice minimum, and ice growth seasons, optimal habitat in areas used by polar bears decreased and was displaced north and east of the Alaska Beaufort Sea coast. As optimal habitat diminished in these seasons, polar bears expanded their range and occupied greater areas of suboptimal habitat. Synthesis and applications: Sea ice declines due to climate change continue to challenge polar bears and their conservation. The distribution of Southern Beaufort Sea polar bears remained similar during the ice maximum season, so the reference RSFs developed from data collected >20 years ago continue to accurately model their winter distribution. In contrast, reference RSFs for the ice transitional and minimum seasons showed diminished predictive efficacy but were useful in revealing that contemporary polar bears have been increasingly forced to use suboptimal habitats during those seasons.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/143114
Appears in Collections:全球变化的国际研究计划

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作者单位: 1.US Geol Survey, Alaska Sci Ctr, 4210 Univ Dr, Anchorage, AK 99508 USA
2.US Geol Survey, Alaska Sci Ctr, Juneau, AK USA

Recommended Citation:
Durner, George M.,Douglas, David C.,Atwood, Todd C.. Are polar bear habitat resource selection functions developed from 1985-1995 data still useful?[J]. ECOLOGY AND EVOLUTION,2019-01-01,9(15):8625-8638
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