globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.04.143
WOS记录号: WOS:000466465800041
论文题名:
Systemically modeling the relationship between climate change and wheat aphid abundance
作者: Zhang, Kai1; Pan, Qiong2,3; Yu, Deying4; Wang, Liming1,5; Liu, Zhenzhen4; Li, Xue6; Liu, Xiyang1,5
通讯作者: Liu, Xiyang
刊名: SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
ISSN: 0048-9697
EISSN: 1879-1026
出版年: 2019
卷: 674, 页码:392-400
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate change ; Wheat aphids ; Sitobion avenae ; Fuzzy cognitive maps ; Differential evolution
WOS关键词: FUZZY COGNITIVE MAPS ; ALGORITHMS ; CENTRALITY ; DENSITY ; GROWTH
WOS学科分类: Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology
英文摘要:

Climate change influences all living beings. Wheat aphids deplete the nutritional value of wheat and affect the production of wheat in changing climate. In this study, we attempt to explain the ecological mechanisms of how climate change affects wheat aphids by simulating the relationship between climate and the abundance of wheat aphids, which will not only aid in improving wheat aphid forecasting and the effectiveness of prevention and treatment, but also help mitigate food crises. Fuzzy cognitive maps (FCM) are an effective tool for portraying complex systems. Using Sitobion avenae and climatological data collected in China, we made use of differential evolution (DE) algorithms to construct FCM models that directly illustrate the effect of climate on wheat aphid abundance. The relationships among climate and wheat aphids at different growth stages (I-III in-star larvae, IV instar larvae with wings, IV instar larvae without wings, adult with wings, adult without wings) were established. The analysis results from the FCM models show that temperature positively influences wheat aphids most. Moreover, these models can be used to determine the numerical value of each climate factor and the abundance of wheat aphids quantitatively. Furthermore, the two overall relationship models between climate and wheat aphids were constructed and the experimental results show that natural enemies and highest daily temperature affect wheat aphids most. Natural enemies and highest daily temperature exert negative and positive impacts on wheat aphids respectively. Some interrelationships among wheat aphids at all growth stages and the internal relationships among climate factors were also shown. (C) 2019 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/143425
Appears in Collections:全球变化的国际研究计划

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作者单位: 1.Xidian Univ, Sch Comp Sci & Technol, Xian 710071, Peoples R China
2.Xidian Univ, Sch Telecommun Engn, Xian 710071, Peoples R China
3.Northwestern A&F Univ, Sch Sci, Yangling 712100, Shaanxi, Peoples R China
4.Sun Yat Sen Univ, Zhongshan Ophthalm Ctr, State Key Lab Ophthalmol, Guangzhou 510060, Guangdong, Peoples R China
5.Xidian Univ, Inst Software Engn, Xian 710071, Peoples R China
6.Northwestern Polytech Univ, Sch Comp Sci, Xian 710072, Peoples R China

Recommended Citation:
Zhang, Kai,Pan, Qiong,Yu, Deying,et al. Systemically modeling the relationship between climate change and wheat aphid abundance[J]. SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,2019-01-01,674:392-400
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