globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.5194/hess-23-3057-2019
WOS记录号: WOS:000475871700001
论文题名:
Assessing the performance of global hydrological models for capturing peak river flows in the Amazon basin
作者: Towner, Jamie1; Cloke, Hannah L.1,2,4,5; Zsoter, Ervin1,3; Flamig, Zachary6; Hoch, Jannis M.7,8; Bazo, Juan10,11; de Perez, Erin Coughlan9,10; Stephens, Elisabeth M.1
通讯作者: Towner, Jamie
刊名: HYDROLOGY AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES
ISSN: 1027-5606
EISSN: 1607-7938
出版年: 2019
卷: 23, 期:7, 页码:3057-3080
语种: 英语
WOS关键词: MULTISATELLITE PRECIPITATION ANALYSIS ; FLOOD RISK ; ECMWF MODEL ; PREDICTION ; IMPACT ; ENSEMBLE ; RUNOFF ; UNCERTAINTY ; CALIBRATION ; EXTREMES
WOS学科分类: Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向: Geology ; Water Resources
英文摘要:

Extreme flooding impacts millions of people that live within the Amazon floodplain. Global hydrological models (GHMs) are frequently used to assess and inform the management of flood risk, but knowledge on the skill of available models is required to inform their use and development. This paper presents an intercomparison of eight different GHMs freely available from collaborators of the Global Flood Partnership (GFP) for simulating floods in the Amazon basin. To gain insight into the strengths and shortcomings of each model, we assess their ability to reproduce daily and annual peak river flows against gauged observations at 75 hydrological stations over a 19-year period (1997-2015). As well as highlighting regional variability in the accuracy of simulated streamflow, these results indicate that (a) the meteorological input is the dominant control on the accuracy of both daily and annual maximum river flows, and (b) ground-water and routing calibration of Lisflood based on daily river flows has no impact on the ability to simulate flood peaks for the chosen river basin. These findings have important relevance for applications of large-scale hydrological models, including analysis of the impact of climate variability, assessment of the influence of long-term changes such as land-use and anthropogenic climate change, the assessment of flood likelihood, and for flood forecasting systems.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/143552
Appears in Collections:全球变化的国际研究计划

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作者单位: 1.Univ Reading, Dept Geog & Environm Sci, Reading RG6 6AB, Berks, England
2.Univ Reading, Dept Meteorol, Reading RG6 6BB, Berks, England
3.European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts, Shinfield Pk, Reading RG6 9AX, Berks, England
4.Uppsala Univ, Dept Earth Sci, S-75236 Uppsala, Sweden
5.CNDS, Ctr Nat Hazards & Disaster Sci, S-75236 Uppsala, Sweden
6.Univ Chicago, Ctr Data Intens Sci, Chicago, IL 60637 USA
7.Univ Utrecht, Dept Phys Geog, POB 80115, NL-3508 TC Utrecht, Netherlands
8.POB 177, NL-2600 MH Delft, Netherlands
9.Columbia Univ, Int Res Inst Climate & Soc, Palisades, NY 10964 USA
10.Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Ctr, NL-2521 CV The Hague, Netherlands
11.UTP, Lima, Peru

Recommended Citation:
Towner, Jamie,Cloke, Hannah L.,Zsoter, Ervin,et al. Assessing the performance of global hydrological models for capturing peak river flows in the Amazon basin[J]. HYDROLOGY AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES,2019-01-01,23(7):3057-3080
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