globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.1016/j.agwat.2019.05.018
WOS记录号: WOS:000472698600053
论文题名:
Impacts of regional climate change on the runoff and root water uptake in corn crops in Parana, Brazil
作者: Resende, Nicole Costa1; Miranda, Jarbas Honorio1; Cooke, Richard2; Chu, Maria L.2; Chou, Sin Chan3
通讯作者: Resende, Nicole Costa
刊名: AGRICULTURAL WATER MANAGEMENT
ISSN: 0378-3774
EISSN: 1873-2283
出版年: 2019
卷: 221, 页码:556-565
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Hydrus model ; Eta model ; Climate change
WOS关键词: PHOSPHORUS LOSSES ; SURFACE ; MODEL ; SCENARIOS ; EXTREMES
WOS学科分类: Agronomy ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向: Agriculture ; Water Resources
英文摘要:

The natural environment of corn crops is being affected by climate changes. This research is aimed at evaluating the climate change scenarios resulting from the downscaling using the Eta regional climate model, nested in the global model CanESM2, and assessing the consequences of climate changes in the runoff and root water uptake of corn crops in the region of Parana, Brazil. This research also describes the climatology and the possible changes in the climate of the area, according to the different emission scenarios and infer how these changes will affect the dynamics of water in the corn crop in the region, simulated by Hydrus model. Simulations comprise of the historical period (1981-2005) and the future projections under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, between the years 2046 to 2070. Eta model nested with the global model CanESM2 presented high ability to reproduce the climate in the region. Simulations showed changes in precipitation and an increasing trend of maximum and minimum temperatures when compared with the baseline. The root water uptake showed increasing trends predominantly in the RCP8.5 scenario. These climate changes can strongly affect corn production in the region of Parana, Brazil, as it can lead to increasing runoff and runoff extremes (runoff above 100 mm/day). This situation poses a risk to crop production since it causes losses by leaching and destruction of plants, as well as other factors such as lack of aeration and increased incidence of plant diseases. Similarly, the projected increase in temperature can result in increased evapotranspiration, which affects root water uptake, and the crop water demand.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/143577
Appears in Collections:全球变化的国际研究计划

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作者单位: 1.Univ Sao Paulo, Luiz de Queiroz Coll Agr, Ave Padua Dias 11, BR-13418900 Piracicaba, SP, Brazil
2.Univ Illinois, 1304 W Penn, Urbana, IL 61801 USA
3.Natl Inst Space Res, Rod Presidente Dutra,Km 39, BR-12630000 Cachoeira Paulista, SP, Brazil

Recommended Citation:
Resende, Nicole Costa,Miranda, Jarbas Honorio,Cooke, Richard,et al. Impacts of regional climate change on the runoff and root water uptake in corn crops in Parana, Brazil[J]. AGRICULTURAL WATER MANAGEMENT,2019-01-01,221:556-565
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