globalchange  > 影响、适应和脆弱性
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/10/11/114020
论文题名:
Recent changes in Arctic temperature extremes: warm and cold spells during winter and summer
作者: Heidrun Matthes; Annette Rinke; Klaus Dethloff
刊名: Environmental Research Letters
ISSN: 1748-9326
出版年: 2015
发表日期: 2015-11-18
卷: 10, 期:11
语种: 英语
英文摘要:

In the Arctic, climate change manifests with the strongest warming trends on the globe, especially in the cold season. It is under debate if climate extremes change similarly strong. Our study provides detailed regional information about two selected temperature extreme indices in the Arctic, namely warm and cold spells in winter and summer. We analyze their temporal evolution and variability from 1979–2013, based on daily station data and ERA-Interim reanalysis. Calculated trends from both datasets suggest a widespread decrease of cold spells in winter and summer of up to −4 days/decade, with regional patches where trends are statistically significant throughout the Arctic. Winter trends are spatially heterogeneous, the reanalysis also shows small areas with statistically significant increases of cold spells throughout Siberia. Calculated changes in warm spells from both datasets are mostly small throughout the Arctic (less than ±1 day/decade) and statistically not significant. Remarkable exceptions are the Lena river basin in winter with a statistically significant decrease of up to −1.5 days/decade and areas in Scandinavia with statistically significant increases of up to 2.5 days/decade in winter and summer (again from both datasets). From the analysis of spell lengths, we find that there are no shifts from longer to shorter spells or vice versa with time, but long cold spells (events lasting for more than 15 days) disappear almost completely after the year 2000. There is a distinct inter-annual and decadal variability in the spells, which hinders the detection of significant trends for all spell categories in all regions.

URL: http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/10/11/114020
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/14372
Appears in Collections:影响、适应和脆弱性
气候减缓与适应

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Recommended Citation:
Heidrun Matthes,Annette Rinke,Klaus Dethloff. Recent changes in Arctic temperature extremes: warm and cold spells during winter and summer[J]. Environmental Research Letters,2015-01-01,10(11)
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