globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.1029/2019GL084015
WOS记录号: WOS:000481818900028
论文题名:
A New Perspective on Terrestrial Hydrologic Intensity That Incorporates Atmospheric Water Demand
作者: Ficklin, Darren L.1; Abatzoglou, John T.2; Novick, Kimberly A.3
通讯作者: Ficklin, Darren L.
刊名: GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
ISSN: 0094-8276
EISSN: 1944-8007
出版年: 2019
卷: 46, 期:14, 页码:8114-8124
语种: 英语
英文关键词: hydrologic cycle ; precipitation ; evapotranspiration ; climate change
WOS关键词: POTENTIAL EVAPOTRANSPIRATION ; EVAPORATIVE DEMAND ; DROUGHT ; PRECIPITATION ; INTENSIFICATION ; FUTURE ; CARBON ; CMIP5 ; CYCLE ; VARIABILITY
WOS学科分类: Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
WOS研究方向: Geology
英文摘要:

Hydrologic intensity is often quantified using precipitation without directly incorporating atmospheric water demand. We develop a hydrologic intensity index called the surplus deficit intensity (SDI) index that accounts for variation in supply and demand. SDI is the standardized sum of standardized surplus intensity (mean of daily surplus when supply > demand) and deficit time (mean of consecutive days when demand > supply). Using an observational ensemble of global daily precipitation and atmospheric water demand during 1979-2017, we document widespread hydrologic intensification (SDI; +0.11 z-score per decade) driven primarily by increased surplus intensity. Using a climate model ensemble of the United States, hydrologic intensification is projected for the mid-21st century (+0.86 in z-score compared to 1971-2000), producing greater apparent intensification when compared to an index that does not explicitly incorporate demand. While incorporating demand had a minor effect on observed hydrologic intensification, it doubles hydrological intensification for the mid-21st century.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/143808
Appears in Collections:全球变化的国际研究计划

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作者单位: 1.Indiana Univ, Dept Geog, Bloomington, IN 47405 USA
2.Univ Idaho, Dept Geog, Moscow, ID 83843 USA
3.Indiana Univ, ONeill Sch Publ & Environm, Bloomington, IN USA

Recommended Citation:
Ficklin, Darren L.,Abatzoglou, John T.,Novick, Kimberly A.. A New Perspective on Terrestrial Hydrologic Intensity That Incorporates Atmospheric Water Demand[J]. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2019-01-01,46(14):8114-8124
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