globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.1002/hyp.13469
WOS记录号: WOS:000477753300007
论文题名:
Impact of the spatial variability of daily precipitation on hydrological projections: A comparison of GCM- and RCM-driven cases in the Han River basin, Korea
作者: Lee, Moon-Hwan1; Im, Eun-Soon1,2; Bae, Deg-Hyo3
通讯作者: Im, Eun-Soon ; Bae, Deg-Hyo
刊名: HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES
ISSN: 0885-6087
EISSN: 1099-1085
出版年: 2019
卷: 33, 期:16, 页码:2240-2257
语种: 英语
英文关键词: climate change ; dynamical downscaling ; hydrological projection ; spatial variability of precipitation
WOS关键词: REGIONAL CLIMATE MODEL ; BIAS CORRECTION ; SOUTH-KOREA ; TEMPORAL VARIABILITY ; PART 1 ; DAILY RAINFALL ; SIMULATIONS ; TEMPERATURE ; STREAMFLOW ; SYSTEM
WOS学科分类: Water Resources
WOS研究方向: Water Resources
英文摘要:

In this study, we investigate the impact of the spatial variability of daily precipitation on hydrological projections based on a comparative assessment of streamflow simulations driven by a global climate model (GCM) and two regional climate models (RCMs). A total of 12 different climate input datasets, that is, the raw and bias-corrected GCM and raw and bias-corrected two RCMs for the reference and future periods, are fed to a semidistributed hydrological model to assess whether the bias correction using quantile mapping and dynamical downscaling using RCMs can improve streamflow simulation in the Han River basin, Korea. A statistical analysis of the daily precipitation demonstrates that the precipitation simulated by the GCM fails to capture the large variability of the observed daily precipitation, in which the spatial autocorrelation decreases sharply within a relatively short distance. However, the spatial variability of precipitation simulated by the two RCMs shows better agreement with the observations. After applying bias correction to the raw GCM and raw RCMs outputs, only a slight change is observed in the spatial variability, whereas an improvement is observed in the precipitation intensity. Intensified precipitation but with the same spatial variability of the raw output from the bias-corrected GCM does not improve the heterogeneous runoff distributions, which in turn regulate unrealistically high peak downstream streamflow. GCM-simulated precipitation with a large bias correction that is necessary to compensate for the poor performance in present climate simulation appears to distort streamflow patterns in the future projection, which leads to misleading projections of climate change impacts on hydrological extremes.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/143856
Appears in Collections:全球变化的国际研究计划

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作者单位: 1.Hong Kong Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
2.Hong Kong Univ Sci & Technol, Div Environm & Sustainabil, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
3.Sejong Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, 209 Neungdong Ro, Seoul 05006, South Korea

Recommended Citation:
Lee, Moon-Hwan,Im, Eun-Soon,Bae, Deg-Hyo. Impact of the spatial variability of daily precipitation on hydrological projections: A comparison of GCM- and RCM-driven cases in the Han River basin, Korea[J]. HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES,2019-01-01,33(16):2240-2257
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