globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.1111/ddi.12939
WOS记录号: WOS:000476676000011
论文题名:
Climatic predictors of species distributions neglect biophysiologically meaningful variables
作者: Gardner, Alexandra S.1; Maclean, Ilya M. D.1; Gaston, Kevin J.1,2
通讯作者: Gardner, Alexandra S.
刊名: DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS
ISSN: 1366-9516
EISSN: 1472-4642
出版年: 2019
卷: 25, 期:8, 页码:1318-1333
语种: 英语
英文关键词: climate change ; conservation ; plant physiology ; range shifts ; species distribution models
WOS关键词: DISTRIBUTION MODELS ; SOIL-MOISTURE ; BIODIVERSITY HOTSPOTS ; ECOLOGICAL THEORY ; EXTREME WEATHER ; IMPACTS ; NICHE ; SELECTION ; PATTERNS ; LIMITS
WOS学科分类: Biodiversity Conservation ; Ecology
WOS研究方向: Biodiversity & Conservation ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
英文摘要:

Aim Species distribution models (SDMs) have played a pivotal role in predicting how species might respond to climate change. To generate reliable and realistic predictions from these models requires the use of climate variables that adequately capture physiological responses of species to climate and therefore provide a proximal link between climate and their distributions. Here, we examine whether the climate variables used in plant SDMs are different from those known to influence directly plant physiology. Location Global. Methods We carry out an extensive, systematic review of the climate variables used to model the distributions of plant species and provide comparison to the climate variables identified as important in the plant physiology literature. We calculate the top 10 SDM and physiology variables at 2.5 degrees spatial resolution for the globe and use principal component analyses and multiple regression to assess similarity between the climatic variation described by both variable sets. Results We find that the most commonly used SDM variables do not reflect the most important physiological variables and differ in two main ways: (a) SDM variables rely on seasonal or annual rainfall as simple proxies of water available to plants and neglect more direct measures such as soil water content; and (b) SDM variables are typically averaged across seasons or years and overlook the importance of climatic events within the critical growth period of plants. We identify notable differences in their spatial gradients globally and show where distal variables may be less reliable proxies for the variables to which species are known to respond. Main conclusions There is a growing need for the development of accessible, fine-resolution global climate surfaces of physiological variables. This would provide a means to improve the reliability of future range predictions from SDMs and support efforts to conserve biodiversity in a changing climate.


Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/143948
Appears in Collections:全球变化的国际研究计划

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: 1.Univ Exeter, Environm & Sustainabil Inst, Penryn TR10 9FE, Cornwall, England
2.Inst Adv Study, Wissenschaftskolleg Berlin, Berlin, Germany

Recommended Citation:
Gardner, Alexandra S.,Maclean, Ilya M. D.,Gaston, Kevin J.. Climatic predictors of species distributions neglect biophysiologically meaningful variables[J]. DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS,2019-01-01,25(8):1318-1333
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[Gardner, Alexandra S.]'s Articles
[Maclean, Ilya M. D.]'s Articles
[Gaston, Kevin J.]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[Gardner, Alexandra S.]'s Articles
[Maclean, Ilya M. D.]'s Articles
[Gaston, Kevin J.]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[Gardner, Alexandra S.]‘s Articles
[Maclean, Ilya M. D.]‘s Articles
[Gaston, Kevin J.]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.