globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.3390/atmos10080453
WOS记录号: WOS:000482983500047
论文题名:
Appropriateness of Potential Evapotranspiration Models for Climate Change Impact Analysis in Yarlung Zangbo River Basin, China
作者: Pan, Suli1; Xu, Yue-Ping1; Xuan, Weidong2; Gu, Haiting1; Bai, Zhixu1
通讯作者: Xu, Yue-Ping
刊名: ATMOSPHERE
EISSN: 2073-4433
出版年: 2019
卷: 10, 期:8
语种: 英语
英文关键词: potential evapotranspiration ; climate change ; appropriateness ; Yarlung Zangbo River Basin
WOS关键词: REFERENCE CROP EVAPOTRANSPIRATION ; BIAS CORRECTION METHODS ; WATER REQUIREMENTS ; ZHEJIANG PROVINCE ; FUTURE CLIMATE ; SIMULATIONS ; IRRIGATION ; VARIABLES ; BALANCE ; UNCERTAINTY
WOS学科分类: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

Evapotranspiration (ET) is an important element in the water and energy cycle. Potential evapotranspiration (PET) is an important measurement of ET. Its accuracy has significant influence on agricultural water management, irrigation planning, and hydrological modelling. However, whether current PET models are applicable under climate change or not, is still a question. In this study, five frequently used PET models were chosen, including one combination model (the FAO Penman-Monteith model, FAO-PM), two temperature-based models (the Blaney-Criddle and the Hargreaves models) and two radiation-based models (the Makkink and the Priestley-Taylor models), to estimate their appropriateness in the historical and future periods under climate change impact on the Yarlung Zangbo river basin, China. Bias correction methods were not only applied to the temperature output of Global Climate Models (GCMs), but also for radiation, humidity, and wind speed. It was demonstrated that the results from the Blaney-Criddle and Makkink models provided better agreement with the PET obtained by the FAO-PM model in the historical period. In the future period, monthly PET estimated by all five models show positive trends. The changes of PET under RCP8.5 are much higher than under RCP2.6. The radiation-based models show better appropriateness than the temperature-based models in the future, as the root mean square error (RMSE) value of the former models is almost half of the latter models. The radiation-based models are recommended for use to estimate PET under climate change in the Yarlung Zangbo river basin.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/144070
Appears in Collections:全球变化的国际研究计划

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作者单位: 1.Zhejiang Univ, Inst Hydrol & Water Resources, Coll Civil Engn & Architecture, Hangzhou 310058, Zhejiang, Peoples R China
2.Zhejiang Univ Water Resources & Elect Power, Coll Water & Environm Engn, Hangzhou 310018, Zhejiang, Peoples R China

Recommended Citation:
Pan, Suli,Xu, Yue-Ping,Xuan, Weidong,et al. Appropriateness of Potential Evapotranspiration Models for Climate Change Impact Analysis in Yarlung Zangbo River Basin, China[J]. ATMOSPHERE,2019-01-01,10(8)
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