globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab28b7
WOS记录号: WOS:000476829600003
论文题名:
Nonlinear increases in extreme temperatures paradoxically dampen increases in extreme humid-heat
作者: Coffel, Ethan D.1,2,3; Horton, Radley M.4; Winter, Jonathan M.2,3; Mankin, Justin S.2,3,4
通讯作者: Coffel, Ethan D.
刊名: ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
ISSN: 1748-9326
出版年: 2019
卷: 14, 期:8
语种: 英语
英文关键词: climate change ; extreme heat ; humidity ; land-atmosphere coupling
WOS关键词: CLIMATE-CHANGE ; SOIL-MOISTURE ; HOT EXTREMES ; IMPACTS ; STRESS
WOS学科分类: Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

Nonlinear increases in warm season temperatures are projected for many regions, a phenomenon we show to be associated with relative surface drying. However, negative human health impacts are physiologically linked to combinations of high temperatures and high humidity. Since the amplified warming and drying are concurrent, the net effect on humid-heat, as measured by the wet bulb temperature (T-W), is uncertain. Wedemonstrate that globally, on the hottest days of the year, the positive effect of amplified warming on T-W is counterbalanced by a larger negative effect resulting from drying. As a result, the largest increases in T(W)and T-x do not occur on the same days. Compared to a world with linear temperature change, the drying associated with nonlinear warming dampens mid-latitude T-W increases by up to 0.5 degrees C, and also dampens the rise in frequency of dangerous humid-heat (T-W. >. 27 degrees C) by up to 5 d per year in parts of North America and Europe. Our results highlight the opposing interactions among temperature and humidity changes and their effects on T-W, and point to the importance of constraining uncertainty in hydrological and warm season humidity changes to best position the management of future humid-heat risks.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/144245
Appears in Collections:全球变化的国际研究计划

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作者单位: 1.Dartmouth Coll, Neukom Inst, Hanover, NH 03755 USA
2.Dartmouth Coll, Dept Geog, Hanover, NH 03755 USA
3.Dartmouth Coll, Dept Earth Sci, Hanover, NH 03755 USA
4.Columbia Univ, Lamont Doherty Earth Observ, New York, NY 10027 USA

Recommended Citation:
Coffel, Ethan D.,Horton, Radley M.,Winter, Jonathan M.,et al. Nonlinear increases in extreme temperatures paradoxically dampen increases in extreme humid-heat[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2019-01-01,14(8)
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