globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.1177/0959683619846984
WOS记录号: WOS:000479265000006
论文题名:
Observations on the connection between glacial phases, natural catastrophes and economic trends of the last millennium in Italy
作者: Bragato, Pier Luigi1; Holzhauser, Hanspeter2
通讯作者: Bragato, Pier Luigi
刊名: HOLOCENE
ISSN: 0959-6836
EISSN: 1477-0911
出版年: 2019
卷: 29, 期:8, 页码:1322-1334
语种: 英语
英文关键词: earthquake ; Italy ; Little Ice Age ; pandemic ; volcanic eruption
WOS关键词: CAMPI FLEGREI ; NORTHERN-HEMISPHERE ; AFRICAN PROMONTORY ; ETNA-VOLCANO ; CLIMATE ; VESUVIUS ; EARTHQUAKES ; ERUPTION ; PLAGUE ; RECONSTRUCTION
WOS学科分类: Geography, Physical ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
WOS研究方向: Physical Geography ; Geology
英文摘要:

Humanity has often faced critical phases determined by climate changes combined with other natural catastrophes that implied significant socio-economic consequences. In this article, we present an observational study on the possible systematic connection between these factors for the specific case of Italy, comparing the occurrence of pandemics, earthquakes, and volcanic eruptions with the glacial history of the last millennium. We have found that the natural catastrophes concentrate in the periods of ice expansion in Europe, whereas the phenomena are in attenuation in the current phase of global warming. Such a behavior has influenced the economy of the country: in fact, a comparison with a reconstruction of the per capita Gross Domestic Product since 1310 shows that the periods of maximum economic expansion occurred during the deglaciation phases. This study has confirmed the general connection of the climate with a number of Earth processes and the difficulty to foresee its changes. Furthermore, the extension of the analysis at the world level for the last 2500 years has evidenced that different types of pandemics (plague, cholera and influenza) almost exclusively spread during the phases of glacial expansion.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/144311
Appears in Collections:全球变化的国际研究计划

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作者单位: 1.Ist Nazl Oceanog & Geofis Sperimentale OGS, Sez Ctr Ric Sismol, Treviso 55, I-33100 Udine, Italy
2.UNESCO World Heritage Swiss Alps Jungfrau Aletsch, Fieschertal, Switzerland

Recommended Citation:
Bragato, Pier Luigi,Holzhauser, Hanspeter. Observations on the connection between glacial phases, natural catastrophes and economic trends of the last millennium in Italy[J]. HOLOCENE,2019-01-01,29(8):1322-1334
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