CLIMATE-CHANGE
; EL-NINO
; SOUTHERN-OSCILLATION
; INCREASED FREQUENCY
; EVENTS
; ENSO
; CIRCULATION
; ATMOSPHERE
; PATTERNS
; LATITUDE
WOS学科分类:
Agriculture, Multidisciplinary
WOS研究方向:
Agriculture
英文摘要:
Interannual rainfall variability in Australia is a source of risk within agricultural industries. Insights into changes to rainfall and pasture-growth variabilities are essential to inform adaptation strategies for climate risk management within the grazing industry. We investigated shifts in rainfall and pasture-growth variabilities between the periods 1910-1960 and 1961-2010 for the pastoral zone in Australia. Rainfall variability was also assessed for the high-rainfall and wheat-sheep zones. An index of variability was calculated by using gridded rainfall and pasture-growth data for both periods. The percentage change was then calculated as the difference in variation between the two periods. Overall, the variability of annual rainfall has significantly increased (P < 0.01) between the two periods for the pastoral zone. Pastoral regions in the Northern Territory had the greatest increases in pasture-growth variability, with 62-85% of the area affected by a significant increase in variability. Between the periods 1910-1960 and 1961-2010 across the wheat-sheep zone, annual rainfall variability significantly decreased (P < 0.01), with 70% of the area having a negative change, whereas for the high-rainfall zone, the variability did not change significantly. Monitoring ongoing trends in rainfall and pasture-growth variability is important to inform strategic grazing management. Management practices to mitigate the impacts of increased variability in pastoral regions are discussed.
1.Univ Southern Queensland, Ctr Appl Climate Sci, West St, Toowoomba, Qld 4350, Australia 2.Queensland Govt, Dept Environm & Sci, Ecosci Precinct, Boggo Rd, Brisbane, Qld 4102, Australia
Recommended Citation:
Cobon, David H.,Kouadio, Louis,Mushtaq, Shahbaz,et al. Evaluating the shifts in rainfall and pasture-growth variabilities across the pastoral zone of Australia during 1910-2010[J]. CROP & PASTURE SCIENCE,2019-01-01,70(7):634-647