globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2019.04.023
WOS记录号: WOS:000477784400014
论文题名:
Cyclone risk model and assessment for East Asian container ports
作者: Jian, Wei1; Liu, Chang2; Lam, Jasmine Siu Lee3
通讯作者: Lam, Jasmine Siu Lee
刊名: OCEAN & COASTAL MANAGEMENT
ISSN: 0964-5691
EISSN: 1873-524X
出版年: 2019
卷: 178
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Tropical cyclones ; Container port ; Port vulnerability ; Risk model ; Critical coastal infrastructure
WOS关键词: CLIMATE-CHANGE ; TROPICAL CYCLONES ; ECONOMIC-LOSSES ; SEA LEVELS ; PACIFIC ; WIND ; IMPACT
WOS学科分类: Oceanography ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向: Oceanography ; Water Resources
英文摘要:

A cyclone risk model for container ports is developed with a holistic approach on assessing the physical vulnerability of port infrastructure and goods to withstand cyclone events. The risk evaluation considers the structural survivability of the operation components at berth fronts, storage areas and internal transport system within a typical container terminal when subjected to the impact of cyclone wind and storm surge. We present the potential cyclone risks and economic losses for the top 14 East Asian container ports for their respective 100 year return period cyclone wind and storm surge events. The results suggest that many of the container ports are potentially faced with high economic losses: on average, 0.05 billion USD and up to 0.4 billion USD if widespread flooding occurs. The ports located in the Great Pearl River Delta and Yangtze River Delta are subject to the highest risks from both wind and storm surge perils. The maximum 100-year return period loss for these two port clusters can reach up to USD 0.1-0.2 billion under cyclone wind impact and USD 1.0-2.0 billion under storm surge impact. This calls for more effective port planning for cyclone preparedness and emergency response by port authorities and operators.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/144705
Appears in Collections:全球变化的国际研究计划

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作者单位: 1.Nanyang Technol Univ, Inst Catastrophe Risk Management, 50 Nanyang Ave, Singapore 639798, Singapore
2.Nanyang Technol Univ, Maritime Inst, 50 Nanyang Ave, Singapore 639798, Singapore
3.Nanyang Technol Univ, Sch Civil & Environm Engn, 50 Nanyang Ave, Singapore 639798, Singapore

Recommended Citation:
Jian, Wei,Liu, Chang,Lam, Jasmine Siu Lee. Cyclone risk model and assessment for East Asian container ports[J]. OCEAN & COASTAL MANAGEMENT,2019-01-01,178
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