globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2018.08.011
WOS记录号: WOS:000472692000009
论文题名:
The 'curse of dimensionality' resolved: The effects of climate change and trade barriers in large dimensional modelling
作者: Kompas, Tom1,2,3; Pham Van Ha4
通讯作者: Kompas, Tom
刊名: ECONOMIC MODELLING
ISSN: 0264-9993
EISSN: 1873-6122
出版年: 2019
卷: 80, 页码:103-110
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate change ; Trade barriers ; Large-scale intertemporal CGE models ; GTAP
WOS关键词: RATIONAL-EXPECTATIONS ; CGE MODELS
WOS学科分类: Economics
WOS研究方向: Business & Economics
英文摘要:

Solving large scale optimisation problems over space and time quickly generates a computational impasse, termed the 'curse of dimensionality'. This severely limits the practical use of economic models, especially for determining the effects of climate change and protectionist trade policies. In this paper, we employ an innovative approach to solving (otherwise unsolvable) large scale systems through the use of parallel processing methods and a proper ordering of variables and equations in a 'Nested Doubly Bordered Block Diagonal' form. We illustrate how the approach can be used to solve an intertemporal CGE model with more than 500 million equations. Using existing damage functions, the framework allows us to determine the impact of climate change on long-run economic growth for 112 countries as a result of the effect of sea-level rise on land endowments, variation in crop yields and productivity and shifts in the demand for energy and transportation. We also compare our solution to more common (and smaller dimensional) recursive methods, in terms of both the economic effects of climate change and potential increases in trade barriers, showing the power and efficiency of our computational approach and parallel processing routine.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/144865
Appears in Collections:全球变化的国际研究计划

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作者单位: 1.Univ Melbourne, Sch Biosci, Ctr Excellence Biosecur Risk Anal, Melbourne, Vic 3010, Australia
2.Univ Melbourne, Sch Ecosyst & Forest Sci, Melbourne, Vic 3010, Australia
3.Australian Natl Univ, Australia Crawford Sch Publ Policy, Canberra, ACT, Australia
4.Australian Natl Univ, Crawford Sch Publ Policy, Canberra, ACT, Australia

Recommended Citation:
Kompas, Tom,Pham Van Ha. The 'curse of dimensionality' resolved: The effects of climate change and trade barriers in large dimensional modelling[J]. ECONOMIC MODELLING,2019-01-01,80:103-110
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