globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.1016/j.resconrec.2019.04.020
WOS记录号: WOS:000471206700009
论文题名:
Technology options: Can Chinese power industry reach the CO2 emission peak before 2030?
作者: Tao, Yuan1; Wen, Zongguo2; Xu, Lina3; Zhang, Xuan2; Tan, Qilu4; Li, Huifang2; Evans, Steve1
通讯作者: Wen, Zongguo
刊名: RESOURCES CONSERVATION AND RECYCLING
ISSN: 0921-3449
EISSN: 1879-0658
出版年: 2019
卷: 147, 页码:85-94
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Electric power industry ; Emission peaks ; Mitigation potential ; Cost-benefit analysis
WOS关键词: COST-BENEFIT-ANALYSIS ; ENVIRONMENTAL KUZNETS CURVE ; CARBON-DIOXIDE EMISSIONS ; ELECTRICITY SECTOR ; SCENARIO ANALYSIS ; DECOMPOSITION ANALYSIS ; ENERGY-CONSUMPTION ; RENEWABLE ENERGY ; DRIVING FACTORS ; GENERATION
WOS学科分类: Engineering, Environmental ; Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向: Engineering ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
英文摘要:

From the start of China's G20 presidency, China positions itself as a world leader in fighting climate change and emphasizes the wish to 'break a new path for growth'. China aims to peak carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions by 2030 and cut its greenhouse gas emissions per unit of gross domestic product by 60-65% from 2005 levels by 2030. The pledge is eagerly awaited as China aims to develop a low carbon economy through switching to alternatives to fossil fuels and being technologically energy-efficient. The power industry is the most important industrial sector while the biggest bottleneck for CO2 emission control in China. This paper develops a technologies -based bottom-up CO2 mitigation model to assess emission reduction potential of different technologies in the thermal power industry up to 2030. Using 2010 as the reference year, two macro-economic scenarios and four technological scenarios have been set to describe future policy measures for the period of 2015-2030. CO2 emission trends, reduction potentials and cost curves are demonstrated under different scenarios. The results show that the electric power industry can reach its CO2 emission peak by 2030 in the middle policy control scenario under macro-economic slow growth. Emissions would peak at 4.6 billion tonnes CO2-eq for the least cost scenario, which is 1.78 billion tones CO2-eq less than peak the BAU scenario in 2030. This is equivalent to the total CO2 emissions from 300 MW to 1000 MW coal-fired power plants with 5000 h in 30 provinces and municipalities of China in 2013. This research shows that the top four negative cost-beneficial technology options, 630 degrees C or 700 degrees C USC, small hydroelectricity, and nuclear power pressurized water reactor II and III, are the most preferable to be promoted to meet the CO2 emissions peak target in 2020 and 2030.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/144901
Appears in Collections:全球变化的国际研究计划

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作者单位: 1.Univ Cambridge, Dept Engn, Inst Mfg, 17 Charles Babbage Rd, Cambridge CB3 0FS, England
2.Tsinghua Univ, Sch Environm, State Key Joint Lab Environm Simulat & Pollut Con, Beijing 100084, Peoples R China
3.Shanxi Datong Univ, Business Sch, Datong 037009, Shanxi, Peoples R China
4.Natl Dev & Reform Commiss, Energy Res Inst, Beijing 100038, Peoples R China

Recommended Citation:
Tao, Yuan,Wen, Zongguo,Xu, Lina,et al. Technology options: Can Chinese power industry reach the CO2 emission peak before 2030?[J]. RESOURCES CONSERVATION AND RECYCLING,2019-01-01,147:85-94
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