globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-019-0529-2
WOS记录号: WOS:000477738300019
论文题名:
Global loss of climate connectivity in tropical forests
作者: Senior, Rebecca A.1,3; Hill, Jane K.2; Edwards, David P.1
通讯作者: Senior, Rebecca A.
刊名: NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE
ISSN: 1758-678X
EISSN: 1758-6798
出版年: 2019
卷: 9, 期:8, 页码:623-+
语种: 英语
WOS关键词: SHIFTS ; BIRDS ; RESPONSES ; MOVEMENT ; PATTERNS
WOS学科分类: Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

Range shifts are a crucial mechanism enabling species to avoid extinction under climate change(1,2). The majority of terrestrial biodiversity is concentrated in the tropics(3), including species considered most vulnerable to climate warming(4), but extensive and ongoing deforestation of tropical forests is likely to impede range shifts(5,6). We conduct a global assessment of the potential for tropical species to reach analogous future climates-'climate connectivity'-and empirically test how this has changed in response to deforestation between 2000 and 2012. We find that over 62% of tropical forest area (similar to 10 million km(2)) is already incapable of facilitating range shifts to analogous future climates. In just 12 years, continued deforestation has caused a loss of climate connectivity for over 27% of surviving tropical forest, with accelerating declines in connectivity as forest loss increased. On average, if species' ranges shift as far down climate gradients as permitted by existing forest connectivity, by 2070 they would still experience 0.77 degrees C of warming under the least severe climate warming scenario and up to 2.6 degrees C warming for the most severe scenario. Limiting further forest loss and focusing the global restoration agenda towards creating climate corridors are global priorities for improving resilience of tropical forest biotas under climate change.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/145103
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作者单位: 1.Univ Sheffield, Dept Anim & Plant Sci, Alfred Denny Bldg, Sheffield, S Yorkshire, England
2.Univ York, Dept Biol, York, N Yorkshire, England
3.Princeton Univ, Woodrow Wilson Sch Publ & Int Affairs, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA

Recommended Citation:
Senior, Rebecca A.,Hill, Jane K.,Edwards, David P.. Global loss of climate connectivity in tropical forests[J]. NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,2019-01-01,9(8):623-+
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