globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.5194/nhess-19-1601-2019
WOS记录号: WOS:000478754400001
论文题名:
The effects of changing climate on estuarine water levels: a United States Pacific Northwest case study
作者: Parker, Kai1; Hill, David1; Garcia-Medina, Gabriel2; Beamer, Jordan3
通讯作者: Parker, Kai
刊名: NATURAL HAZARDS AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES
ISSN: 1561-8633
EISSN: 1684-9981
出版年: 2019
卷: 19, 期:8, 页码:1601-1618
语种: 英语
WOS关键词: EXTREME SEA LEVELS ; STORM-SURGE ; WAVE ; RISE ; VARIABILITY ; SYSTEM ; IMPACT ; FRAMEWORK ; OCEAN ; STATISTICS
WOS学科分类: Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向: Geology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Water Resources
英文摘要:

Climate change impacts on extreme water levels (WLs) at two United States Pacific Northwest estuaries are investigated using a multicomponent process-based modeling framework. The integrated impact of climate change on estuarine forcing is considered using a series of sub-models that track changes to oceanic, atmospheric, and hydrologic controls on hydrodynamics. This modeling framework is run at decadal scales for historic (1979-1999) and future (2041-2070) periods with changes to extreme WLs quantified across the two study sites. It is found that there is spatial variability in extreme WLs at both study sites with all recurrence interval events increasing with further distance into the estuary. This spatial variability is found to increase for the 100-year event moving into the future. It is found that the full effect of sea level rise is mitigated by a decrease in forcing. Short-recurrence-interval events are less buffered and therefore more impacted by sea level rise than higher-return-interval events. Finally, results show that annual extremes at the study sites are defined by compound events with a variety of forcing contributing to high WLs.


Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/145210
Appears in Collections:全球变化的国际研究计划

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: 1.Oregon State Univ, Sch Civil & Construct Engn, Corvallis, OR 97330 USA
2.Pacific Northwest Natl Lab, Marine Sci Lab, Seattle, WA 98109 USA
3.Oregon Water Resources Dept, Salem, OR 97301 USA

Recommended Citation:
Parker, Kai,Hill, David,Garcia-Medina, Gabriel,et al. The effects of changing climate on estuarine water levels: a United States Pacific Northwest case study[J]. NATURAL HAZARDS AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES,2019-01-01,19(8):1601-1618
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[Parker, Kai]'s Articles
[Hill, David]'s Articles
[Garcia-Medina, Gabriel]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[Parker, Kai]'s Articles
[Hill, David]'s Articles
[Garcia-Medina, Gabriel]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[Parker, Kai]‘s Articles
[Hill, David]‘s Articles
[Garcia-Medina, Gabriel]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.