globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.1016/j.buildenv.2019.106230
WOS记录号: WOS:000476711100021
论文题名:
Sensitivity of Australian roof drainage structures to design rainfall variability and climatic change
作者: Verstraten, Luke1; Wasko, Conrad2,3; Ashford, Graham1; Sharma, Ashish2
通讯作者: Verstraten, Luke
刊名: BUILDING AND ENVIRONMENT
ISSN: 0360-1323
EISSN: 1873-684X
出版年: 2019
卷: 161
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Small catchments ; Roof drainage ; Design rainfall uncertainty ; Climate change ; Rainfall spatial variability
WOS关键词: HOURLY PRECIPITATION EXTREMES ; DURATION-FREQUENCY CURVES ; SPATIAL VARIABILITY ; TALL TALES ; UNCERTAINTY ; INTENSITY ; RESOLUTION ; TRENDS ; IMPACT ; STORMS
WOS学科分类: Construction & Building Technology ; Engineering, Environmental ; Engineering, Civil
WOS研究方向: Construction & Building Technology ; Engineering
英文摘要:

The main design determinant for small catchment hydraulic structures is rainfall intensity. Localised relationships between rainfall intensity, frequency and duration (IFD) are used to design each structure to a specified level of performance. However, limitations in rainfall observations introduce uncertainty in IFD values. Further, this uncertainty is compounded by changes in climatic conditions via anthropogenic forcing. Whether this is a cause for concern depends on the structure's sensitivity to deviations away from design rainfall values. Here, we investigate the ability of roof drainage systems to accommodate deviations in design rainfall. We assess the sensitivity of box gutter overflow designs across Australia to spatial variability in IFD values, and projections of IFD values due to climatic change. Different overflow designs were found to have markedly variable responses to rainfall intensity increases, from 13% to 406% before failure. Potential increases in rainfall intensity from spatial variability uncertainty varied from 2 to 54%. While rainfall projections for the 2090 decade ranged from -15 to + 59%. Rainfall intensity increases as high as 259% were noted when both sources of uncertainty were combined for a temperature rise scenario of 5 degrees C. At the majority of locations coupled increases in rainfall intensity were primarily driven by existing rather than future uncertainties for a 2 degrees C temperature rise scenario. Considering design rainfall uncertainties in terms of design sensitivity shows that adapting to present and future uncertainties can come at no additional cost for some design options while other options need to be altered to reduce the risk of failure.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/145505
Appears in Collections:全球变化的国际研究计划

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作者单位: 1.Univ Sunshine Coast, Sch Sci & Engn, Sippy Downs, Qld, Australia
2.Univ New South Wales, Sch Civil & Environm Engn, Sydney, NSW, Australia
3.Univ Melbourne, Dept Infrastruct Engn, Melbourne, Vic, Australia

Recommended Citation:
Verstraten, Luke,Wasko, Conrad,Ashford, Graham,et al. Sensitivity of Australian roof drainage structures to design rainfall variability and climatic change[J]. BUILDING AND ENVIRONMENT,2019-01-01,161
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