globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2019.05.013
WOS记录号: WOS:000472812000006
论文题名:
Assessing the knock-on effects of flooding on road transportation
作者: Pyatkova, Katya1; Chen, Albert S.1; Butler, David1; Vojinovic, Zoran2; Djordjevic, Slobodan1
通讯作者: Pyatkova, Katya
刊名: JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT
ISSN: 0301-4797
EISSN: 1095-8630
出版年: 2019
卷: 244, 页码:48-60
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Flood impacts ; Microscopic traffic modelling ; Model integration ; Traffic disruption ; Knock-on effects
WOS关键词: CLIMATE-CHANGE ; IMPACTS ; FATALITIES
WOS学科分类: Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology
英文摘要:

Flooding can affect every aspect of our lives and road transportation is not an exception. However, the interaction between floods and transportation was not investigated closely in the past. As transportation is the lifeline of any economy, it is essential to analyse potential dangers and threads that can lead to network capacity restraints. Considering the potential of flooding to affect large areas for long durations, disruptions to transportation can result in extensive knock-on effects. To examine how flooding can impact road transportation a novel methodology was developed into a software tool which integrates flood and traffic models. The flood is simulated with Info Works flood model and the traffic is represented by a detailed microscopic model (SUMO), which simulates individual vehicles and their interactions. Comparing normal (dry) traffic scenario with a flooded one yields the impacts of flooding on traffic (travelled distance and time, fuel consumption and CO2 emissions, maps of speed changes on the roads). The results indicated that delays persist long after the perturbations of flooding have subsided and that durations of trip delays are extremely long in some cases whereas distance impacts are typically negligible. Major knock-on effects on the system indicated that even not flooded critical infrastructure should be considered in flood analysis, as their services may be indirectly impacted by the flood conditions. Although substantial, the impacts proved challenging to monetise as time delays are spread around many drivers and some trips (such as delay to a doctor's trip to the hospital) can have significant, but intangible consequences.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/145517
Appears in Collections:全球变化的国际研究计划

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作者单位: 1.Univ Exeter, Ctr Water Syst, North Pk Rd, Exeter EX4 4QF, Devon, England
2.IHE Delft Inst Water Educ, Westvest 7, NL-2611 AX Delft, Netherlands

Recommended Citation:
Pyatkova, Katya,Chen, Albert S.,Butler, David,et al. Assessing the knock-on effects of flooding on road transportation[J]. JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT,2019-01-01,244:48-60
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