globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.1155/2019/7069195
WOS记录号: WOS:000484698700001
论文题名:
Study on the Change Characteristics of and Population Exposure to Heatwave Events on the North China Plain
作者: Zhan, Long-Fei1; Wang, Yanjun2; Sun, Hemin3; Zhai, Jianqing2,3; Zhan, Mingjin1,2
通讯作者: Zhan, Mingjin
刊名: ADVANCES IN METEOROLOGY
ISSN: 1687-9309
EISSN: 1687-9317
出版年: 2019
卷: 2019
语种: 英语
WOS关键词: CLIMATE-CHANGE ; RIVER-BASIN ; TEMPERATURE ; WAVES ; PRECIPITATION ; DROUGHTS
WOS学科分类: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

In accordance with the China Meteorological Administration definition, this study considered a weather process with a maximum surface temperature of >= 35 degrees C for more than three consecutive days as a heatwave event. Based on a dataset of daily maximum temperatures from meteorological stations on the North China Plain, including ordinary and national basic/reference surface stations, the intensity-area-duration method was used to analyze the spatiotemporal distribution characteristics of heatwave events on the North China Plain (1961-2017). Moreover, based on demographic data from the Statistical Yearbook and Greenhouse Gas Initiative (GGI) Population Scenario Database of the Austrian Institute for International Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), population exposure to heatwave events was also studied. The results showed that the frequency, intensity, and area of impact of heatwave events on the North China Plain initially decreased (becoming weaker and less extensive) and then increased (becoming stronger and more extensive). Similarly, the trend of population exposure to heatwave events initially decreased and then increased, and the central position of exposure initially moved southward and then returned northward. Population exposure in the eastern Taihang Mountains was found significantly higher than in the western Taihang Mountains. In relation to the change of population exposure to heatwave events on the North China Plain, the influence of climatic factors was found dominant with an absolute contribution rate of >75%. Except for 2011-2017, increase in population also increased the exposure to heatwaves, particularly in the first half of the study period. Interaction between climatic and population factors generally had less impact on population exposure than either climatic factors or population factors alone. This study demonstrated a method for assessing the impact of heatwave events on population exposure, which could form a scientific basis for the development of government policy regarding adaption to climate change.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/145577
Appears in Collections:全球变化的国际研究计划

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作者单位: 1.Jiangxi Prov Climate Ctr, Nanchang 330046, Jiangxi, Peoples R China
2.Nanjing Univ Informat Sci & Technol, Sch Geog Sci, IDRM, Collaborat Innovat Ctr Forecast & Evaluat Meteoro, Nanjing 210044, Jiangsu, Peoples R China
3.China Meteorol Adm, Natl Climate Ctr, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China

Recommended Citation:
Zhan, Long-Fei,Wang, Yanjun,Sun, Hemin,et al. Study on the Change Characteristics of and Population Exposure to Heatwave Events on the North China Plain[J]. ADVANCES IN METEOROLOGY,2019-01-01,2019
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